Vladimir Putin, the Russian autocrat, repeats an old protectionist canard that few economists would admit in its nakedness after David Hume and Adam Smith studied the matter in the 18th-century. We have often heard remnants of the same discarded intuition from Washington, especially over the past half-dozen years. According to the Financial Times (“Russian Forces Seize Ukrainian Nuclear Plant After Fire,” March 3, 2022), Putin acknowledged that punitive sanctions imposed by Western government were harming his country, but that they (“we“) would ultimately benefit:
In the end, we will only gain advantages from this, since . . . we will acquire additional skills.
In other words, since protectionism, imposed by one’s friendly local government or by a foreign one, forces some degree of autarky on people would would otherwise trade, the latter benefit because they will have to eschew some division of labor and learn to do more things by themselves. This intuition is false.
If it were true, individuals in any town would benefit from being forbidden to trade with individuals of other towns, and mutatis mutandis for individuals in every neighborhood, every street, and every house. Ultimately, following that logic, every individual should be banned from exchanging with any other individual.
Or, to use a “revealed preference” argument (as economist say): if an individual, free to either make a trade or decline, chooses to trade, he thereby reveals that he evaluates the net benefit for him to be higher than the net benefit of not trading. This is a powerful argument that only an elitist or a paternalist can easily counter.
READER COMMENTS
Richard A.
Mar 4 2022 at 12:15pm
Do you think Putin is the only politician who doesn’t understand international trade? This is Biden during his SOTU address:
Actually, Economists call this protectionism.
Jon Murphy
Mar 4 2022 at 1:20pm
To point out Putin is making a protectionist mistake says nothing about Biden, or Trump, or any other politician who has repeated the mistake.
Pierre Lemieux
Mar 4 2022 at 1:53pm
Richard: I totally agree with you. My comparative advantage in this agreement is that I know what I have written against, say, Obama’s protectionism–for example:
You’ll have no problem finding examples of my criticisms of Biden’s (“Trump 2.0”) protectionism; have a look at https://www.pierrelemieux.com/wordpress/links-to-recent-articles/.
Thomas Lee Hutcheson
Mar 5 2022 at 6:39am
This really going very deep into ‘whataboutism.’ 🙂 The statement could well be nothing more than talking about research.
Craig
Mar 4 2022 at 1:34pm
Just curious how one might respond to the concept of Dutch disease which might apply to Russia given its heavy reliance on oil/petroleum sector?
Pierre Lemieux
Mar 4 2022 at 1:44pm
Craig: Who is “Russia”? Or, more precisely, who would be “Russia” if individuals there were totally free to produce what they want?
I know that my butcher heavily rely on his skill at cutting meat. I asked him to repair my truck and he said he would only do it if a sanction was imposed on butchering!
I suspect I repeat something you understand well.
David Seltzer
Mar 4 2022 at 2:39pm
I suspect protectionism is domestic as well when we consider NLRB protection of unions. Regulatory capture is another attempt at limiting competition.
Pierre Lemieux
Mar 5 2022 at 8:16am
David: Yes, any coercive interference in an exchange can be seen as a form of protectionism. A and B want to exchange on agreed upon terms. C thinks that A should exchange with him instead and forbids him to trade with B. In the forthcoming Spring issue of Regulation (out later this month), I have a short piece on the current case of the NLRB against Whole Foods.
Jose Pablo
Mar 4 2022 at 2:43pm
This is, actually, not a “politicians’ fault”, but a “voters’ one”.
As Caplan wonderfuly ilustrate in “The Myth of the Rational Voter” voters have a very developed make-work bias: a tendency to see economic growth in terms of job creation leaving “productivity” out of the picture (afterall, productivity is more difficult to see).
In your example the “non-trading-individual” is going to be pretty busy making everything he want to consume. That’s precisely what voters want: “busy people”.
Once voters have this bias, it is only rational for politicians to deliver the policies they are asked to deliver.
Humans show this bias all over the place. That’s the reason why protectionism is so prevalent.
Pierre Lemieux
Mar 5 2022 at 8:36am
One would expect or hope (or dream) that economic education could reduce such elementary biases. In my forthcoming review of James Buchanan’s book Why I, Too, Am Not a Conservative (Spring issue of Regulation, out later this month), I write that, in his Enlightenment perspective,
José Pablo
Mar 5 2022 at 7:16pm
You certainly do your part, Pierre. Thanks for that!
Don’t keep your expectations too high, though
E. Harding
Mar 4 2022 at 3:04pm
Putin is correct. The sanctions will surely lower GDP and welfare of the Russian population, but they will most likely increase Russia’s specialization in fields requiring a high IQ. There is a difference between quality and quantity.
José Pablo
Mar 4 2022 at 5:07pm
Yeah!!, Putin is so right … they are going to be great!
After what they have done in Ukraine, I will give Russians all the autarky they want and then some ..
Pierre Lemieux
Mar 5 2022 at 8:49am
José: I get the (justified) irony in your comment, but your “Russians,” admittedly not as misleading as “the Russians” would have been, should not prevent us from seeing the individual Russians who want to trade nor the Americans who want to trade with them, all of whom should be normatively considered equal.
José Pablo
Mar 5 2022 at 7:28pm
I am actually having big troubles with the “individual Russians” part.
After all, individual Russians are manning the tanks in Ukraine, individual Russians are shelling the apartment buildings in Kyiv, individual Russians are bombing civilians, individual Russians are killing children in Ukraine, individual Russians are imprisoning protesters in Russia, …
Normatively not very fond of individual Russians as of late.
Mark Z
Mar 4 2022 at 5:10pm
How did you reach this conclusion? I suppose it’s plausible but a priori it’s just as likely the opposite: if sanctions disproportionately affect imports produced by unskilled labor it could skew the Russian workforce toward lower skilled occupations. It depends on what industries are most affected by sanctions.
Pierre Lemieux
Mar 5 2022 at 8:43am
E.: Thanks for the challenge, if it is not a hoax. If your concept of welfare does not include “quality,” it is a useless concept. It it does include quality and quality is judged by each individual for himself, many of whom want to trade (they don’t care about the IQ of others, they just want an iPhone), your argument collapses. If it does include quality but quality is evaluated by some individuals who coercively impose their evaluation on others, your argument reduces to run-of-the-mill authoritarianism.
Mactoul
Mar 5 2022 at 12:07am
Ultimately, following that logic, every individual should be banned from exchanging with any other individual.
Doesn’t follow. In the pre-modern thought, individuals and families are not self-sufficient and can not be. But a country can be self-sufficient. There is no reason why a country of hundred million can’t have all the division of labor it requires in itself.
José Pablo
Mar 5 2022 at 2:37am
There is no reason why a country of hundred million can have all the division of labor it requires
Jon Murphy
Mar 5 2022 at 6:48am
This statement is a fundamental misunderstanding of the division of labor. The division of labor is not a commodity, where some minimum “required” amount exists. The division of labor is a self-learning network. As more division takes place, the about of learning increases. Consequently, the network becomes better at producing, etc.
Pierre Lemieux
Mar 5 2022 at 8:12am
Mactoul: One way to rethink your interrogations is to ask: What is “a country”? How does “it” decide it has or has not all the division of labor it requires in itself. In other words, try methodological individualism to understand society.
Another related way is to realize that there is a reason why “a country of hundred million can’t have all the division of labor it requires in itself.” It is that coercion by political authority is necessary to make that possible. To see this, assume, first, that “a country of hundred million” does have “all the division of labor it requires in itself.” Assume, second, that one individual in the country (he is in the country “in itself”) wants to trade with another individual in another country. If he is allowed to, it means that the country did not have “all the division of labor it requires in itself.” If he is coercively prohibited to trade (and even only partially prohibited by coercive changes in the terms of the bargain he has reached with a foreigner), it also also means that “the country” did not have “all the division of labor it requires in itself.” There is a way to escape this contradiction, it is to assume that not all individuals are equal and that some (political authority) can impose to others their idea of what is the required division of labor.
A third way is to study the standard economics of trade since Hume and Smith.
Mactoul
Mar 6 2022 at 12:08am
Having a political authority implies a degree of coercion. Do you rule out having any political authority?
What is the point of having governments and legislatures?
What are their legitimate roles in your opinion?
José Pablo
Mar 6 2022 at 8:03am
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Problem_of_Political_Authority
The best book ever written on the topic (at least the first part).
Spoiler alert: no government of any form has a morally legitimate right to coerce individuals
José Pablo
Mar 5 2022 at 7:35pm
Since “reality” has a significant epistemic value let’s take the US as an example: 157 million workers and still “individuals” voluntarily trade with individuals from another countries for between 15 and 20% of the gdp.
And it would be higher without the existing barriers to trade
Jon Murphy
Mar 6 2022 at 8:11am
Another thing worth considering:
No one is arguing that a nation (or, for that matter, a family or individual) cannot be self-sufficient.
The question is whether or not such self-sufficiency makes the country stronger. Putin claims it does. We are arguing that it does not.
Thomas Lee Hutcheson
Mar 5 2022 at 6:45am
In re-refuting this fallacy, it would be better to acknowledge that there can sometimes be a smidgen of truth in it. “Necessity is the mother of invention.”
Jon Murphy
Mar 5 2022 at 12:33pm
I think Adam Smith in the opening chapters of the Wealth of Nations does a good job refuting even that smidgen of truth. He shows that innovation happens regardless of protection. Indeed, protectionism can often merely result in broken windows (ie, spending resources to rediscover innovations others already had).
Matthias
Mar 9 2022 at 3:45am
I would assume that proponents of the view you are criticising hold that trade inside the nation is different from trade with the rest of the world. And also that there might be some optimal level of trade, so that neither full international free trade nor no trade at all are optional policy settings for them.
I do think that free trade is good. And even unilateral free trade is better then holding our for a trade agreement.
But we shouldn’t kid ourselves about the positions other people hold.
Comments are closed.