Over time, ideologies can evolve in unforeseen ways. Consider the following four public policy developments:
1. The Biden administration has attempted to forgive many student loans for college education.
2. Several cities in California have imposed rent controls.
3. Florida recently banned lab grown meat.
4. North Carolina is attempting to ban mask wearing in public.
While the first two examples are often views as progressive legislation and the other two are viewed as populist initiatives, they all share something in common. In each case, the legislation can be seen as a perversion of an earlier form of the ideology in question.
Let’s start with progressivism. At the beginning, this ideology was heavily motivated by flaws (real or imagined) in laissez-faire economics. Progressives worried that unrestrained capitalism might lead to abusive monopolies and a highly unequal distribution of income. This led to policy initiatives such as regulation of rates charged by utilities and redistribution programs such as the earned income tax credit.
Over time, however, progressivism became increasingly associated with the means, and not the ends of legislation. Thus to be a progressive meant to favor “regulation” and “redistribution”, regardless of whether it achieved the original goals of the movement.
Obviously, the case for rent controls in markets with thousands of individual landlords is far weaker than the case for price controls when there is a single monopoly provider of water or electricity. And it is equally clear that the case for redistributing money from the general taxpayer to college educated Americans is far weaker than the argument for redistributing money to low wage workers. But the progressive movement is dominated by younger Americans. This group is disproportionately comprised of recent college grads living in apartments in expensive coastal cities.
The recent wave of populism was at least partly motivated by resentment against the perception that elites were forcing the public into undesirable changes in their lifestyle (such as mask wearing during pandemics) and unpopular climate change initiatives (such as the discouragement of meat consumption.) But over time, the lifestyle issues gradually came to displace the “freedom” aspect of populism. Opposition to mask mandates morphed into simple opposition to masks. Resentment that elites were trying to impose a certain lifestyle was replaced by attempts to ban the undesired lifestyle.
This is the natural evolution of populism. It begins as an attempt to free the public from oppression, and ends up imposing another form of oppression once the populists gain power.
One could cite many more such examples. The college free speech movement of the 1960s was originally focused on allowing students to express far left political views. By the 2000s, the freedom aspect was forgotten and college activists had begun trying to mandate that students express left wing views.
Similarly, right wing opposition to woke excesses began as an attempt to allow more free speech on campus, but in at least some places has evolved into an attempt to ban certain left wing ideologies.
The civil rights movement began as a crusade for a colorblind society. While the initial focus was on outlawing discrimination against minorities, over time the emphasis shifted toward mandating discrimination in favor of minorities. (Those “reverse discrimination” policies may have had unintended side effects, such as making employers reluctant to hire workers that they might be unable to fire at some point in the future.)
Feminism began as an attempt to stop society from treating people differently because of their gender, but has evolved into an ideology demanding that people be treated differently because of their gender.
Why do ideologies continually lose their bearings? I suspect the problem reflects the fact that very few people are committed to broad principles such as freedom or utility maximization. Instead, they have “special interests”, and use these various ideologies as a convenient cudgel to attack their opponents and achieve their actual policy goals.
PS. Matt Yglesias has a very good post discussing some of the same issues.
READER COMMENTS
Grant Gould
May 20 2024 at 10:44am
It’s an appealing story but I’m not sure it’s right, chronologically. It seems to me for instance that opposition to mask mandates and opposition to masking at all were hand-in-hand from day one, with any discussion of mask mandates getting derailed into name-calling about the awfulness of masks themselves ab initio. Likewise rent control has always been early in the menu of price controls and landlords rhetorically shuffled into the realm of monopolists.
It’s a nice thought that the Baptists come first and the Bootleggers are later hangers-on. But they have never been separate populations — most bootleggers have always turned up at church, after all — but largely different rhetorical strategies of the same people. The number of us anti-mandate pro-mask people is vanishingly tiny, with most anti-mandate people quickly dropping their metaphorical masks and jumping into “face diaper” or “smile more” or “what pandemic” the moment the discourse level falls. Likewise anti-rent-control but also zoning-is-a-cartel overlap is minuscule (though at least in that case growing, I think).
Scott Sumner
May 20 2024 at 9:24pm
I believe the first rent controls were around 1920 in NYC, and much later in California. That’s well after the first regulation of utilities. Some of the California rent controls are quite recent.
But I take your point—there has been some corruption from the beginning.
MarkW
May 20 2024 at 11:26am
My understanding is that some states have anti-public mask wearing laws already on the books, dating from the KKK era, and that modern populist desires to again enforce them (or impose new anti-mask laws) have more to do with opposition to masked violent protests (Antifa, ‘Black Bloc’) than opposition to medical masks.
steve
May 20 2024 at 12:27pm
Might be believable except that so far they have not allowed exceptions for health reasons. Lots of ways to obscure identity other than wearing a mask.
Steve
MarkW
May 20 2024 at 4:08pm
OK–but the motivation seems entirely around preventing people from wearing masks to illegal protests and not allowing exceptions seems to be about fears that all the protesters would all claim medical need. I do no see that any part of the motivation of proponents is about preventing people from wearing masks for medical reasons in other situations. I don’t see hidden motives there. Not that, on balance, the ban is a good idea, but I don’t see that it really has anything to do with residual opposition to pandemic mask mandates.
Scott Sumner
May 20 2024 at 9:27pm
I find it hard to believe that these moves are unrelated to the pandemic. Why now?
MarkW
May 21 2024 at 4:51am
Why now? I’d say that it’s in response to the BLM/George Floyd protest-riots, masked smash-and-grab robbery gangs, and likely the campus Gaza protests. If it had been about the pandemic, they could have passed a mask-mandate ban like Florida did. I am not saying this is a sensible, carefully tailored policy intended to solve a problem but rather — as with much of what politicians do — a symbolic effort intended to garner votes, regardless of its likely ineffectiveness. I just don’t see it as having to do with the pandemic and medical masks. I would be shocked if this were ever used against east Asian people wearing masks on buses, for example.
steve
May 20 2024 at 9:59pm
Still doesnt make sense. Someone could falsely claim a medical exemption but then they would need to prove it. Also, if this is really the concern why arent they passing a law against large, dark sunglasses, or fake beards and mustaches?
Steve
BS
May 21 2024 at 11:26am
Apprehension of how ZZ Top fans might react?
David Seltzer
May 21 2024 at 6:20pm
BS: Frank Beard was beardless. Loved ZZ Top!
Mactoul
May 21 2024 at 10:41pm
I wonder if there is any valid reason to wear mask for health.
Even wearing of surgical masks in OT has been questioned as to its efficacy and utility.
steve
May 22 2024 at 12:21pm
Very effective against droplet spread. Less effective but still has some effect for aerosols with contagiousness a factor. Biggest factor is compliance.
Steve
robc
May 20 2024 at 12:03pm
There is a counter-example which also shows the problem.
Candy Lightner founded MADD and once the laws and attitudes on drunk driving changed, was done with her crusade. So, she stuck to her goals.
But, by that point she wasnt in charge of MADD and couldn’t prevent it from continuing on as a neo-prohibitionist organization. There was too much power and money for it to be shut down.
Floccina
May 20 2024 at 4:04pm
The move to ban lab grown meat in Florida could be seen not so much as populism, but traditional political corruption, Florida has a good number of cattle ranches.
Scott Sumner
May 20 2024 at 9:30pm
Baptists and bootleggers. In any case, the rhetoric used by politicians is populist, which is what matters for this post.
Brandon Berg
May 20 2024 at 11:16pm
Like most things, the mask story is being explained badly by the media. What actually happened was:
In 1953, North Carolina passed a law banning the use of masks in public in an attempt to crack down on the KKK. There were several exceptions in the bill, like occupational usage.
In 2020, the bill was modified to allow masks for health reasons.
Now there’s a proposal to remove the health exception added in 2020 because it’s being abused and is no longer necessary.
I doubt very much that there’s any intention to use this law to prosecute people wearing surgical masks and minding their own business. I do appreciate that laws that give police discretionary power to arrest people for doing innocuous things have potential for abuse, but on the other hand, it was illegal to wear surgical masks in public in North Carolina from 1953 to 2020, and it doesn’t seem to have been a problem.
Scott Sumner
May 20 2024 at 11:32pm
I wasn’t born yesterday. It’s obvious what’s going on here. No one seriously views a surgical mask as a symbol of the KKK.
“because it’s being abused”
Abused? What wrong with wearing a surgical mask for any reason? Do I need the government’s permission? People in East Asia wore them long before Covid, for a variety of reasons.
MarkW
May 21 2024 at 7:46am
The original KKK ban wasn’t about symbolism (there was no ban on white sheet or hood wearing), it was about preventing Klansmen from concealing their identities. Nobody views a surgical mask as a symbol of the KKK (or anything else), but it may be worn as an attempt at concealment, and I’m pretty sure that’s what this proposed change is about.
Mactoul
May 21 2024 at 10:53pm
Masking was probably a kind of medical superstition in East Asia.
Brandon Berg
May 20 2024 at 11:35pm
My point is not that removing the mask exception is a good thing, but that, for better or worse, it appears to be motivated more by a desire to fight crime than by knee-jerk anti-mask sentiment.
And also that journalists are remarkably bad at their jobs.
steve
May 21 2024 at 9:43am
People have long worn balaclava type masks to conceal identity when committing crimes. Or sunglasses and fake facial hair. It’s a law that wont stop people from concealing their identity but will affect people who need to wear them for medical reasons. IOW the only people who will actually be affected are the people who need them.
Steve
Rajat
May 21 2024 at 4:57pm
On the American civil rights movement, I believe there’s been much controversy in recent decades about what “MLK really said (or meant)”, etc. Some are saying now that he never believed in colorblindness and always saw a role for affirmative action, commonly citing his 1963 publication, “Why We Can’t Wait” and his 1967 book, “Where do we go from here: Chaos or Community?”
I see a similar reinterpretation of the past in the recent moves towards stronger antitrust enforcement by the Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Justice Antitrust Division. Last year, the two agencies jointly published a revised set of merger guidelines. These guidelines principally cite Supreme Court cases from the 1960s and earlier, which preceded the judicial move towards a consumer-focussed and output-maximisation-based criterion for merger control. The earlier cases emphasised structural measures of competition and the tendency of mergers to speed industry consolidation and the disappearance of small suppliers. In your terms, the focus of competition enforcement has shifted from the ends (protecting consumers) to the means (protecting small suppliers). However, in this case, the progressives are making the point that antitrust law was originally focussed on the means – to break-up trusts and limit the growth and power of monopolies. In a sense, one could say that antitrust law was itself an outgrowth of an earlier round of populism more than a century ago, and was reinterpreted by economic liberals in the 1970s to become more utilitarian, before more recently shifting back to its progressive roots.
Thomas L Hutcheson
May 21 2024 at 6:29pm
Cost benefit analysis is the prophylactic to the regulations of left and right.
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