Attempting to mask the ugliness of the Biden Administration’s ‘forgiveness’ of student loans, the President’s Democratic friends are comparing it favorably to the Payroll Protection Program (PPP), a program put in place during the pandemic that extended loans to businesses and then forgave these loans if the companies kept their employees. Here’s Sen. Bernie Sanders (I–VT) making the comparison:
This argument is lame. In this case, the massive $800 billion PPP that the government could “afford” to make is simply the inefficient and unfair disbursement of funds that the government is able to do because it has access to other people’s money – that is, to taxpayers’ money. What happened with the PPP provides no excuse to double down or pass an even worse program such as the ‘forgiveness’ student loans.
It’s also a bad comparison. The student-loan forgiveness move was done unilaterally and likely on very shaky legal grounds while the PPP was passed with bipartisan support by Congress – and passed when the economy was being forcibly locked down. Further, student-loan forgiveness helps only those kids who went to college using funds borrowed willingly. These debts are now to be paid off by many people who didn’t go to college because they couldn’t afford to and those who have already paid in full their collegiate debts.
In theory, the PPP applied to all “small” businesses not just to, say, green energy or other favored industry companies. (FYI, according to the Small Business Administration, 99.7 percent of businesses are “small,” thanks to its ridiculously large definition of the word “small.”) And loans from the PPP were designed to be forgiven from the get-go as an incentive for companies to keep their employees. There were no such expectations or requirements on students borrowing money to go to college.
Now, many people are foolishly glorifying PPP as if it was a wonderful program. As I have written here (and in many other places ever since the PPP was announced), it wasn’t close to being wonderful. By most accounts, the PPP was a $800 billion failure. It was regressive in its own way, in part because the companies most likely to apply for PPP loans were those who were big enough to know how to navigate the bureaucratic nightmare that is the Small Business Administration’s application process. Also, many of the companies that got loans under the PPP which were subsequently forgiven where never at risk of getting rid of their employees, since these workers easily transitioned to working from home. Most of the loans went to economic sectors that were among those least economically affected by the pandemic. Also, many PPP loans went to big companies (shocker!). Finally, the whole point of the PPP was for companies to keep their workers, but as is always the case with bailouts, it mostly benefited shareholders, not workers. Peter Suderman writes:
The jobs kept in place by the PPP were preserved at very high cost—somewhere between $170,000 and $257,000 a year, far more than the typical earnings of affected workers, which are closer to $58,000 per year.
While the PPP was able to save some jobs, albeit at a very high cost, the overall result of the program was precisely the opposite of what was intended. The purpose of the program was to preserve the jobs of wage workers, not to funnel money to business owners. As David Autor, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist and the lead researcher behind the paper, told The New York Times recently, “it turns out [the money] didn’t primarily go to workers who would have lost jobs. It went to business owners and their shareholders and their creditors.” The program, he added, was “highly regressive.” “
So there you have it; PPP and student loan forgiveness are comparable after all. They are both terrible policies. The student loan forgiveness one is simply much worse.
Veronique de Rugy is a Senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center and syndicated columnist at Creators.
READER COMMENTS
Johnson85
Sep 2 2022 at 12:02pm
You sort of touch on it in the comment about the economy being forcibly locked down, but it’s also worth pointing out that how terrible the PPP was is some what excusable by the fact that they were making tradeoffs between getting money out quickly and it being targeted.
Obviously it being a handout to the rich was partly driven by COngress being beholden, but some of it was clearly just bad because they’re morons. It did very little for the companies actually being forcibly shut down. Getting money to pay workers and utilities but not getting your fixed costs is helpful, but still leaves the businesses most in need (and most harmed by government actions) dependent on taking on more debt or drawing down savings to stay afloat. I don’t think that was a cynical ploy by congress to pick winners and losers, that was just them being morons and moving quickly. The Biden administration had all the time in the world to consider the least harmful way to buy votes, and still came up with something extremely regressive.
BC
Sep 2 2022 at 4:24pm
“loans from the PPP were designed to be forgiven from the get-go as an incentive for companies to keep their employees.”
Yes, this is the most important distinction. PPP loans were not forgiven after the fact out of some sympathy for borrowers’ alleged inability to repay them. They were *never intended* to be paid back. PPP was just a mechanism for taxpayers to pay employees’ salaries in lieu of unemployment benefits. The thought was that keeping employees on payrolls was better than unemployment because they could more quickly return to their old jobs after the lockdowns. People spoke about preserving “organizational capital”, i.e., trying to keep workers attached to their pre-Covid employers. (Remember, many people thought that we could return to normal after a month or two, or even 14 days!) At the time, many people thought we could just “pause” the economy and return to the pre-Covid state as if nothing happened. Hence, eviction moratoria, debt repayment moratoria and, yes, forgivable PPP “loans”.
In retrospect, it seems obvious why such a program was not so effective. Even if unemployment would have skyrocketed to say 25% without PPP loans, then 75% of workers would have still been employed. Firms could pay those 75% (in addition to the 25% that would have been laid off) with PPP forgivable loans. Unlike unemployment benefits, there was no way to limit PPP to pay only those workers that would have otherwise been laid off because the non-PPP counterfactual was not observable. As Veronique said, “Many of the companies that got loans under the PPP which were subsequently forgiven where never at risk of getting rid of their employees.”
It also seems disingenuously revisionist to now portray PPP as some sort of right-wing giveaway to business, created by people now opposed to college debt forgiveness. PPP was part of “lockdown socialism”, the idea that, by spending enough taxpayer dollars, we could pause the economy and outwait Covid. While many conservatives went along, lockdown socialism was not a right-wing creation.
Thomas Lee Hutcheson
Sep 2 2022 at 5:16pm
Good to see a nice criticism of the PPP. It would have been better if it has presented what a better alternative would have been, unless the author considers that not doing anything was optimal.
The same applies to debt forgiveness.
vince
Sep 3 2022 at 1:33pm
One better alternative was to run the financial assistance through ramped up unemployment offices. Unemployment systems are already in place in every state. Some provide benefits for the partially unemployed–for full-time workers whose hours are cut. It was ridiculous to give small business PPP forgiveness loans to anyone and everyone. Incidentally, those loans were forgiven only if the business proved the money went towards wages.
Regardless, student loan forgivenss is absurdly regressive. It gives handouts to college graduates who average $1.2 million more in earnings over their working career than those who don’t go to college.
Knut P. Heen
Sep 5 2022 at 3:04am
“We give you money for locking-down your business” is different from “We give you money for voting for us”.
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