There are highlights from my weekly reading and viewing.
“Glenn Greenwald Interviews Rep. Thomas Massie About Gaza and Israel,” December 5, 2023.
Glenn Loury and John McWhorter, “New Evidence on George Floyd’s Death Changes Everything,” December 5, 2023.
I had been positive that Derek Chauvin murdered George Floyd. Now I, like Glenn Loury and John McWhorter, am not.
“There’s Nothing Mystical about the Idea that Ideas Change History,” Matt Johnson interview with Steven Pinker, Quillette, December 1, 2023.
Excerpt:
And for all its fiascoes, the UN has accomplished a lot. Its peacekeeping forces really do lower the chance of a return to war—not in every case, but on average. And members of the UN are signatories to an agreement that war is illegal, except for self-defense or with the authorization of the Security Council. Even though that’s sometimes breached, most flagrantly with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, we have to remember that whenever there are laws there are scofflaws, but that doesn’t mean the laws are useless. The legal scholars Oona Hathaway and Scott Shapiro have argued that even though the outlawry of war did not eliminate war, it reduced it by making conquests no longer recognized by the community of nations. That is, if Russia holds onto territory taken from Ukraine, it cannot count on other nations recognizing the conquest—which is a big change from the practice of millennia, when the policy was “to the victor go the spoils.”
As it happens, I recently debated John Mearsheimer, the foremost Realist theorist. “Realism” is a misnomer—it’s a highly unrealistic idealization of the relationships among states, barely more sophisticated than the board game Risk. It assumes that countries seek nothing but power and expansion, because the only defense against being invaded is to go on offense first.
I think I sometimes dump too much on the UN. This is a nice bit of offsetting reasoning. Also, my opinion of Mearsheimer had been fairly high but after seeing him speak about 6 weeks ago, I thought less of him. Pinker puts his finger on a big part of what I saw and found unsatisfactory.
Russ Roberts, “Does [sic] the Media Hate Israel?” Listening to the Sirens, December 3, 2023.
The incentives of the information landscape ratchet up the outrage on both sides. The New York Times will eagerly repeat stories that make Israel look bad. That’s what their readership wants. They want to feel outrage about the oppressor. The BBC will eagerly repeat stories that show the suffering of the Palestinians to further cement the feelings of their viewers that the Palestinians are oppressed and deserve sympathy. Of course their coverage is more nuanced than this, but for those of us who support Israel, it feels like the coverage is completely one-sided. It isn’t. But our news feeds make it feel even more extreme than it actually is.
The same is true for people on the conservative side. Fox News and the social media feed of pro-Israel users will be filled with example after example of Hamas cruelty, vindicating the view that this is not just about Israel but about the future of civilization. Stories that make Israel look less civilized will either not show up or will be glossed over or excused. Stories of Palestinian suffering will either not show up or will be excused—after all, they will say, so many Palestinians support Hamas. Did you see how ordinary citizens treated those Red Cross vehicles carrying the hostages home from Gaza? Somehow, a crowd of 100 jeering Palestinians becomes a representative sample.
READER COMMENTS
Ahmed Fares
Dec 10 2023 at 5:06pm
Lloyd Austin was berated recently for saying that Israel’s way of fighting this war would lead to a strategic defeat for Israel. The following shows why he would say that.
https://time.com/6342167/israel-must-learn-from-fallujah/
Moulton, a Democrat, represents Massachusetts’s 6th Congressional District. He sits on the House Armed Services Committee and the Select Committee on China. He served as a Marine Infantry Officer in Iraq.
Grand Rapids Mike
Dec 10 2023 at 10:02pm
The Palestinians already hated Jews before Oct7 attack, so the point Israel losing their support is a moot point. In fact there is no real difference between Hamas and Palestinians, they are all Jews haters.
Ahmed Fares
Dec 11 2023 at 1:05am
Number of Israeli deaths caused by Hamas on or after Oct. 7: Zero.
Number of Palestinian deaths caused by Israel on or after Oct. 7: Zero.
Hate only exists in the minds of deists and intellectually dishonest atheists. That is because they see evil where there is none. Muslims, on the other hand, are occasionalists, i.e., everything comes from God. That’s not to say that there aren’t Palestinians that are ignorant or weak in the faith, but your comment was wrong because it attributed that quality to all of them.
Actually, all religions are occasionalists at their core, but people drift away from that. Here’s one who didn’t (Franz Kafka was Jewish):
https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/297832-evil-does-not-exist-once-you-have-crossed-the-threshold
That’s not to say that evil people don’t exist. They do, but they hold no power in this world. That’s because evil comes from God.
The Qur’an also says that both good and evil come from God:
Mark Z
Dec 11 2023 at 1:41am
I see this kind of argument made in a lot of contexts in both politics and war: my opponent’s disposition toward me is completely invariant to my behavior, therefore I have no strategic incentive to refrain from maximal hostility. I’m pretty sure this is basically never true though. I’m sure the vast majority of Afghans disliked America after it invaded. That doesn’t mean the probability of Afghan being willing to take up arms against American troops, though, isn’t a function of whether his wife or son is killed by an American strike or whether his village is destroyed. Hatred is obviously a matter of degree. Most people in the world hate probably some (or many) nationalities or ethnic groups, but aren’t in a constant state of war with whoever they dislike.
Andrew_FL
Dec 11 2023 at 12:45pm
“I’m sure the vast majority of Afghans disliked America after it invaded.”
It is extraordinary what confidence you have in an opinion that is wrong.
Mactoul
Dec 10 2023 at 7:28pm
It was always open for countries to not recognize particular conquests. It didn’t need UN to do that. Edward Luttwak gives a different opinion on UN peacekeeping– it prolongs conflicts by not allowing the resolution provided by war.
Jon Murphy
Dec 10 2023 at 8:27pm
The point about the UN is that it provides a united front. When almost no one recognizes a conquest, it eliminates the ligitimacy. The United Nations is basically solving the collective action problem.
Mactoul
Dec 11 2023 at 5:38am
Does it?
Where do you see this “united front”?
In fact, UN is as irrelevant as League of Nations in its prime.
Scott Sumner
Dec 11 2023 at 12:44am
Mearsheimer is wildly overrated. I recall him saying that Putin would never invade Ukraine. Glad to see that critique by Pinker.
Warren Platts
Dec 12 2023 at 8:31am
Actually, Mearsheimer predicted “that Ukraine is going to get wrecked” back in 2015.
Opinion | They Predicted the Ukraine War. But Did They Still Get It Wrong? – The New York Times (nytimes.com)
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