I posted recently about Annelise Anderson’s reminiscences of her and her husband Martin Anderson’s role in Richard Nixon’s 1968 campaign for President. She stated:
The first thing that Martin did for Richard Nixon—one of the first things—it’s dated July 4, 1967—is to make the argument for abolishing the military draft and moving to an all-volunteer armed force.
In cleaning out my files last week, I discovered that Marty had sent me a mimeographed copy of July 4 write-up for Nixon. It’s titled “An Analysis of the Factors Involved in Moving to An All-Volunteer Armed Force.” Marty wrote it while he was a young assistant professor at Columbia University.
It’s full of gems. For one thing, Marty was the first person I know of on the anti-draft side of the debate who saw recruiting women as one of the ways of getting volunteers.
But my favorite part is where he discusses the official Defense Department view on the budgetary cost (not the social cost) of moving to an all-volunteer force. He mentions a statement by DoD’s Assistant Secretary of Defense for Manpower, Mr. Morris that the additional costs could range from $4 billion to $17 billion. The Secretary of Defense at the time, Robert McNamara, had been head of Ford Motor Company. Anderson writes:
For the Department of Defense to state, as Mr. Morris, the Assistant Secretary for Manpower did, that the additional costs could range from $4 billion to $17 billion is comparable to Mr. McNamara, when he was with the Ford Motor Company, estimating the cost of a new Ford at “somewhere between $2,000 and $8,500.” Defense cost projections are admittedly uncertain, but they are not that uncertain.
(Marty underlined “could” and, in the last sentence, “that.”)
In the rest of the 29-page report, Marty does his own estimates, quite judiciously, and narrows the range substantially, with the final number being on the low end of Mr. Morris’s numbers. The paper also does so much more: making a principled case for eliminating conscription and handling the various arguments against that case.
READER COMMENTS
Benjamin Cole
Nov 3 2018 at 7:53pm
As history, this is a fascinating post and solves a riddle: what are the origins of the misnomer “all-volunteer.”
The US had bona fide volunteers in World War II, and we also had a draft.
Milton Friedman advocated moving to a mercenary military, and was not shy about using the word “mercenary”
By this standard of the times, I guess we have “all-volunteer” teachers in every public school district in America, or an “all-volunteer” State Department.
In fact, some of the fears of the expenses of an mercenary military have been realized. Military employees and veterans are powerful voting blocs. The VA alone has become a $200 billion a year social welfare program for former federal employees.
JK Brown
Nov 3 2018 at 9:43pm
Some years back, I read General Sherman’s memoirs. At the end of volume II, he offered some observations on managing an army in the field, including on his experiences with the various methods used to supply recruits during the war. His observations are similar to those problems found in subsequent conscriptions.
Andreas Berglund
Nov 6 2018 at 4:44pm
“An Analysis of the Factors Involved in Moving to An All-Volunteer Armed Force.”
Is it available to the general public somewhere?
David Seltzer
Nov 6 2018 at 6:19pm
In Viet Nam, the conscripts were less willing in their assigned duties and, often, could not be trusted in combat. Caveat…these were my observations and therefore anecdotal. I would like to see if empirical data supports my assertion.
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