
“I need a research assistant at $5 an hour,” he said. “But they are hard to find. In fact, I can’t find one on the market.” This is not exactly the complaint that The Economist reports from Wisconsin dairy farmers, but it would have served equally well to illustrate a common economic confusion. The magazine writes (“Business Has Gone Sour in America’s Dairy Capital,” January 23, 2020):
Farmers complain it is getting hard to find labor, even as wages rise.
It is never hard to find labor on a (at least relatively) free market: it just depends on the price you are willing to pay. It is not only difficult but impossible to find labor below the going wage rate. But at that rate, it is usually easy. If it isn’t, it is because the going rate is below the market equilibrium rate (the wage rate that clears the market in the specific labor category we are considering, that is, the rate at which every worker can find a job and every employer can hire a worker).
When the going wage lies below the equilibrium rate, employers will start bidding up the wage rate, which will rise. (By the way, this bidding process explains why workers are not paid a mere subsistence wage and why wages increase with productivity.) Perhaps the second clause in the quote above, “even as wages rise,” means exactly what economists say: wages rise when labor is difficult to find; if it suggests that labor should be easy to find at any wage rate because wages have risen, it is meaningless.
The next sentence of the Economist article confirms the correct economic interpretation:
Mr Wegmueller can lure part-time help only by offering free accommodation.
In other words, the farmer can find workers by paying higher wages, either by increasing their money wages or by supplying some free benefit, which amounts to a raise in real wages.
As easy as it is to find workers by bidding up wages as necessary, it would be even easier by paying more than the equilibrium wage rate: at $1,000 an hour to milk cows, many physicians and lawyers, not to speak of academics and journalists (and bloggers), would take the job. The farmer wouldn’t be very wise to do so, though.
Note that I am not addressing the migrant-worker issue also raised in the Economist story. It is true that if migrant workers were free to come and work on farms, they would bid down farmworker wages (in their category), thereby motivating a certain number of native “cow boys” to move to other industries. This would be as beneficial as when the price of American mathematicians dropped after many of their Soviet colleagues fled the collapsed Soviet Union and came to our shores. But here, I am only interested in the general complaint about the difficulty of finding employees.
The expression “I can’t find the employees I need” is very misleading. Either I need them because they would bring me more profit than what I would have to pay to hire them, and I will bid up their wages if necessary; or else I don’t need them in any meaningful sense (as the incipit of this post suggests). The Economist did not explain all this, but it seems to have asked the interviewees the economically relevant questions.
READER COMMENTS
john hare
Jan 29 2020 at 4:46am
It’s a bit more complex than just raising wages. There are many people that claim they want to work for the wage I am willing to pay. Unfortunately, many entry level people have not enough on the ball to make them worth hiring in construction. There are far too many that have been convinced that they are worth high wages without delivering their end of the bargain. It’s hard to train people that can’t think past the Friday paycheck.
Nearly every business locally has this problem. People that could be capable mostly don’t want to work that hard. And people that can’t be capable are a liability. Tell me how I can staff my company with reliable people at a price I can afford and I can be quite wealthy in five years.
I think the base of my problem comes from three directions. One is that motivated people have opportunities now that didn’t exist decades ago. Second is that many have been unmotivated by a pervasive view that they are owed just for existing. “We deserve $15.00 an hour” usually fails to answer the question “WHY”.
Third is the people that are prevented from going for the jobs I offer. We have to drug test to keep our business insurance which eliminates many people with problems that they could handle if allowed. We used to have a lot of functioning users just like there are many functioning drinkers. Addicts and alcoholics if you prefer. Many people have lost their drivers licences over things unrelated to their willingness to work. And of course we can’t work illegal immigrants unless we are willing to risk legal repercussions.
There are a lot of moving parts to the labor shortage. I’m attempting to address mine by automating some things where possible. (I’m an inventor and am developing a few tools/machines) Also by changing my business model to accommodate people not willing to “pay the dues” of learning a trade. Mostly by simplifying to single tasks that require very little training.
Matthias Görgens
Jan 29 2020 at 9:55am
Very good points to complement the article.
Do keep in mind, just as free accommodation is part of the total benefits package, so is not having to work very hard or needing to bring a lot of experience.
Yes, the blog post says that labour shortages are all about the price of labour. And while that’s true, that’s just a different word for what occurs in practice, so all your practical problems and solutions stay exactly as relevant as before. It’s just a different way to think about the issues.
I’d be very keen to hear about those little inventions!
john hare
Jan 30 2020 at 4:17am
Little tool for laying concrete block. Clamps and guides such that an amateur can handle the weight and get them straight. Slip form for extruding concrete curb hooked up to rental pump.
In the works is a miniature (riding mower size) bulldozer with remote control to replace a lot of shoveling. Self propelled concrete mixer small enough to go through doors.
Mostly stuff that is obvious and bog simple after we throw them together.
Andrew Swift
Jan 29 2020 at 7:00am
A point that regularly goes unmentioned in these kinds of articles:
If you currently have 50 farmhands making $5 an hour but you really need to hire another and the going wage rate is now $6/hour, you can pay your new hand $6 without taking too much of a financial hit.
But you will have big problems when your 50 current employees all want raises.
Instead of costing $12000 the following year it’s going to cost you 12000+50×2000=$100k!
You could argue that it’s impossible to have 50 employees making less than the going rate, but in reality people do not like to change jobs and I do not think that’s a safe assumption.
Given all that, I can understand why dairy farmers don’t want to hire new people at higher wages. Especially because a future drop in the going rate would not enable an employer to lower wages.
Any increase is more or less permanent.
Thaomas
Jan 29 2020 at 7:10am
You are describing monopsony, one of the explanations for why minimum wage increases do not seem to reduce employment very much.
Fred_in_PA
Jan 29 2020 at 10:19am
Thaomas;
I’m confused. I thought “monopsony” meant “single buyer.” But if the farmer truly were a monopsonist — the only game in town — he wouldn’t have to raise the pay of his other 50 workers. Would he? What’s here that I’ve missed?
Thaomas
Jan 29 2020 at 10:31am
A buyer of labor in a competitive market would not affect the price of labor, he would not have to pay more for the additional cowboy than he was paying current employees.
Thaomas
Jan 29 2020 at 10:52am
And on the narrative of not wanting to employ one additional worker for having to pay the rest more, a minimum wage would not reduce, but increase the monopolist’s employment even if reduced employment of employers in competitive markets, thereby reducing the aggregate effect on employment.
Jon Murphy
Jan 29 2020 at 1:32pm
Does that not undermine your argument that hiring the extra worker necessitates paying everyone else higher wages? If the market rate is $6/hr and that is currently not incentivizing the people making $5/hr to switch jobs for non-pecuniary reasons, why would the market rate at $6/hr suddenly make those earning $5/hr switch jobs just because someone new is hired?
Furthermore, just because everyone needs to get raises, and such a cost is $100k, it does not necessarily imply that farmers would be hesitant to hire a new worker. If the marginal product of the workers is >$6/hr, then the farmer would still hire the new worker. If not, those workers who are <$6/hr would be laid off.
robc
Jan 29 2020 at 2:31pm
Asynchronous information and transaction costs.
Maybe the owner know the market rate is $6, but the employees dont. Maybe the employees suspect they could get more, but the transaction costs of job searching are too high.
Once the new guy is hired AND the other employees find out he is making $6, they will realize they are being underpaid (especially if they are clearly superior to him or think they are).
Then you have disgruntled workers either looking for a new job or demanding $6 themselves or, worst case, demanding $7 if that guy is worth $6.
Andrew Swift
Jan 30 2020 at 3:29am
Thanks, you saved me the trouble of answering 😉 and explained it more eloquently than I would have.
Jon Murphy
Jan 30 2020 at 6:36am
No, that doesn’t quite explain it. The new guy gets $6/hr. It doesn’t necessarily mean that information gets transfered to everyone else. But even if it did, the transaction costs do not change for the workers, just the information costs. That answer only makes sense of the information costs are very high, which is unlikely given 1) there’s a new guy able to command a higher price and 2) the flexibility implied about the market.
And there’s still the problem of marginal productivity I mentioned.
robc
Jan 30 2020 at 9:27am
Not necessarily, but it often does. And this is a case where Homo Economicus doesnt quite work as a model. In theory, nothing changes for the worker, if they were happy with $5 yesterday, they should be today. But reality is if they find out that new guy is making $6, they will be disgruntled.
It happened with me. Back when the min wage was $3.35, I was working a $4 job. When the min wage went to $4.25, I got a raise to $4.50 (and later $5). In theory, I could have got $4.25 and would have been happy, as that was more than I was making the day before. But reality was that people who had been making $0.65 above minimum were unhappy making $0.25 above minimum (which led to that 2nd raise).
Jon Murphy
Jan 30 2020 at 11:46am
Yeah but that’s true regardless of whether they know about the new guy or not.
My question is why the transaction costs, which were enough to prevent negotiation initially, suddenly are reduced once the new guy gets hired.
robc
Jan 30 2020 at 12:26pm
Transaction costs of negotiating with your current employer are probably significantly lower than with another.
Before you might have thought that some other company might pay $6, but there is work to figure it out and interview and etc.
But with your current boss, you just ask for a raise now that you know he will pay $6 too.
Jon Murphy
Jan 30 2020 at 1:21pm
Undoubtedly so, but that’s not relevant here. Again, that is true regardless of whether the other guy gets hired or not. There is no particular reason why the new guy coming along would reduce those transaction costs.
The new hire may reduce informational costs (although the action explicitly tells the other workers nothing other than what the employer was willing to pay for that new worker. It does not in and of itself tell us the market rate.
Andrew Swift
Feb 4 2020 at 10:16am
I was too black and white in my answer.
What I should have written was just that adding a new employee at $6/hr when all your existing employees make $5/hr would likely result in various additional costs depending on the situation.
It would be naÏve to suggest that adding the new employee would have no consequences for the existing employee base.
The real world is complex. Maybe the existing employees consider themselves extremely lucky to work for you and the raise is a non issue, or maybe they already hate you and this is enough to get them all to quit or form a union.
It’s impossible to measure, let alone predict.
Comments are closed.