What is going on in England? There are long lines at gas stations and motorists are not allowed to fill ‘er up; they are limited to only a few gallons of gasoline, each. The fuel pumps are in operation. The refineries there are functioning well. There are plenty of trucks fully capable of transmitting the fuel from wholesalers to retailers. The problem? You had better be sitting down for this or you’ll keel right over: there are simply not enough drivers available to transport the fuel to where it is most needed.
Say what? There are millions of motorists in that country. Of course, not that many are capable of driving the heavy tanker trucks; however, more than enough are! But, still, there is something rotten in Denmark, well, England. Either that, or what we teach in introductory economics is all wrong.
What is the lesson stemming from econ 101? It is that whenever there is a shortage, as there is now for English truck drivers, this means demand is greater than supply. And what is supposed to happen when that takes place? Prices, or in this case wages, which are the price of labor, are supposed to rise. These, in turn, are comprised of money payments, salary, plus working conditions. But neither has occurred. Working conditions, in the form of clean rest stops for long distance haulers, have actually deteriorated, and take-home pay has not increased.
Why not? Where is the money for these raises supposed to come from? They are presumed to emanate from the ultimate consumer in the form of derived demand from him. Well, there is indeed a shortage of drivers in England. Motorists are clamoring for more gas. There are long lineups at filling stations. Why haven’t prices risen there, so as to ration limited supply until more is forthcoming?
This ordinary economic response has been rejected, and for two reasons. One, it would be considered price gouging. And that would be unconscionable in these politically correct times. Second, if the price of gas doubled, tripled, or even quadrupled, who would still be able to purchase it, and who would be left out in the cold? This much is clearer: the rich would get the lion’s share, and the poor would pretty much have to do with their leavings, or do without. But we can’t have that, not in this epoch.
In the absence of government intervention, the price of gasoline would have risen. This would have financed higher wages and better working conditions for the drivers. End of problem. It never would have occurred in the first place. Any incipient tendency in this direction would have been nipped in the bud.
Market prices are a signal. If they are squelched, they cannot do their jobs. Economics chaos of the sort we now see in England results. Suppose we all decide we are too fat. We want to go on diets. We don’t desire as much ice cream, cake, cookies, and instead demand more carrots, apples, string beans. But the farmers, bakers, manufacturers have as yet no idea of our change in tastes. Do we have to petition the government to get entrepreneurs to produce more rabbit food and less of what makes life worth living? No. We simply buy more of the former and less of the latter. This raises the prices and profits in veggies and lowers it for sugary substances. Business is led by an “invisible hand” to do our bidding. This is despite the fact that some don’t like it since some get rich (low calorie food producers) and some suffer a loss (the producers of high calorie food). But if this market signal is not allowed to function, we stay obese.
There are analogous signals in numerous other walks of life. If your bridge partner opens with a one heart, he is signaling something different than a three diamonds bid. If these signals are disallowed, the game is ruined. The conductor of the orchestra also signals. He indicates he wants the music to go faster, slower, louder, softer, etc. If he is not allowed to gesture, wave his arms about, if his signals are truncated, the quality of the music is reduced. Words, too, whether spoken or written, are signals. So are musical scores, facial expressions and hand gestures. Communication depends upon signals. Most people appreciate all this, and would be horrified if they were rendered impotent. Temple of Babble, here we come.
But prices, too, are every bit as much a signal as any of these others. The only difference is that they are not at all generally appreciated. Rather, we tolerate rent controls, minimum wages and outlaw price “gouging.” All this at the loss of a civilized order. Who wants to wait on line for several hours for two gallons of gas at an artificially lower price?
Which was the chicken and which the egg in this case? It is unclear as to whether the low price and restrictions on quantity were the cause or the result of the problem. What is clear is that one way to ameliorate the problem is to allow market prices to operate. When they do, in a shortage, initially prices will rise. But that will attract greater supply, and prices will fall once again. Meanwhile, no shortages.
Walter E. Block is Harold E. Wirth Eminent Scholar Endowed Chair and Professor of Economics at Loyola University New Orleans
READER COMMENTS
Matthias
Nov 21 2021 at 10:28pm
Any sources for pretrol lines in the UK? I haven’t found anything on Google News or similar.
Do they have price gouging laws for petrol in the UK?
rsm
Nov 22 2021 at 12:28am
What if everyone got an inflation-proofed basic income, so you would have the time to learn to drive gas lorries, if you didn’t like the current supply situation?
William Connolley
Nov 22 2021 at 6:51am
The queues for fuel in the UK were rather short lived. They have already stopped, indeed they did more than a month back (e.g. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-58709456), and have faded from everyone’s minds. They were a short-term problem due to panic buying, which makes this post somewhar ironic.
Dubious. That works in the long term. It doesn’t in the short term; and everyone knew this was short term. I even spoke to the (local, independent) owner of one fuel station and asked why he wasn’t raising prices. His answer was unease, and not clearly formulated, but in essence was that his customers would not like it. Instead, he was restricting the amount each could purchase.
This I believe was correct. It was a combination of Brexit making it harder to import drivers and Covid making it harder to get HGV license tests. Oh, and the rubbish conditions for UK HGV drivers makes the job unappealling.
Oliver
Nov 22 2021 at 7:42am
Greetings from the UK! I thought it may be of use that I can offer a first hand account of the above.
Walter’s article seems to be somewhat out of date? As of today, I’m not aware of any fuel shortages in the UK. However, what Walter describes is a fairly accurate description of where we were back in early October.
The first I heard of it was talk on the news of worries about fuel shortages and reports of large queues at “some petrol stations” (mainly in London, I think). This was certainly news to me out in rural Wiltshire. I saw no issues at any of the petrol stations I passed in my town and the surrounding ones (maybe two dozen of them?).
In the next day or so, queues did start to form at some places but others – typically the ones that are usually slightly more expensive – were still quiet. One of my local fuel stations in a nearby village reported that they knew nothing of any shortages.
Over the next few days though, the effect of the scare stories appeared to set in. Some petrol stations had to start managing traffic or even tuning people away despite having plenty of fuel available – that didn’t help with people’s perceptions.
Eventually, they did start to out of fuel. It seemed to be fairly random – purely down to who had a delivery and who didn’t. Many places had only unleaded and no diesel or vice versa. It was a lottery finding places that had fuel, and convoys even started to form following tankers…
During all of this, prices didn’t rise by more than a few pence, so unsurprisingly, it dragged on for some time. Some places did impose a limit of £30 on the amount of fuel you could buy, but most, in my experience, did not.
It’s very hard to narrow down the root cause of the problem, but it seems to me that while HGV driver shortages were one factor – the DVSA has an enormous licensing backlog due to the lockdowns – the most immediate trigger was the panic itself. The fuel didn’t seem to run out until after everyone started buying it like mad… A very vivid demonstration of perverse incentives.
That particularly infuriates me because if that was indeed the case, hiking the price of fuel up would have been extremely effective. At the time, fuel was about £1.35 a litre I think (about £1.50 now); I reckon if it’d had been raised to £1.80 or so the problem would have disappeared very quickly indeed. They could even have said “it’s £1.80 today, but it’ll be £1.75 tomorrow, £1.70 the next day” and so on.
It feels to me like the past couple of years has been a real crash course in how important market prices are in stopping crowd behavior from setting up a positive feedback loop.
It certainly doesn’t help that our media absolutely love scare stories like this, and the BBC are always subjecting us to vacuous headlines predicting impending doom. They’re usually provided to them by means of some self-important vested interest or QANGO predicting disaster if it doesn’t get the subsidy/tariff/extra powers it wants from the government…
Matthias, I’m not an expert on our competition law but my understanding is that we don’t have any specific price gouging laws but that this, from the Competition Act 1998, would be used:
As you might expect, the Competition and Markets Authority are an officious organisation and were very vocal in making threats about (so-called) price gouging at the start of the whole COVID business last year, so I have no doubt they would have been keen to stick their oar in.
PS: Spare us a thought for the eye-watering petrol prices we face over here; we even have to pay tax on the tax… So much for the government protecting us from price gouging, eh?
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