A remarkable essay on “effective altruism” by Financial Times columnist Martin Sandbu conveys much information on that fad (see “Effective Altruism Was the Favoured Creed of Sam Bankman-Fried. Can It Survive His Fall,” December 29, 2023). But don’t make this sort of altruism your New Year’s resolution.
Effective altruism aims at maximizing the good that a charitable action does. It is a moral offshoot of Benthamite utilitarianism as is cost-benefit analysis. Both theories fail for the same reason, which is, as Anthony the Jasay repeats, that they are based on somebody’s say-so: they try to calculate the relative values of different consequences by comparing the subjective utility gained or lost by different individuals. An action will be effective altruism if it promotes the “greatest good for the greatest number”—for example, if 100 individuals each gain 10 units of utility and one individual loses 100. Note that the same reasoning applies if one individual (a “utility monster”) gains 1,000 in utility while 100 lose only 5 each.
Utilitarian “calculations” are guesses based on intuitions. If $1 is stolen from Bill Gates and given to a homeless person, it looks sensible to say that the former loses less utility than the latter gains; and that, therefore, the total “social utility” or “social welfare” increases. Even if the theory seems reasonable in such extreme cases, it loses any intuitive support in most real-world problems. Is it possible that the Nazis gained more utility than the Jews lost? A more pedestrian case: when one of the 400 wealthiest American households pays $126 million in annual taxes (which is the actual average—see Gramm et al., The Myth of American Inequality, Table 7.1, p.102), is it really worth less for the household members than for the beneficiaries of the new great government projects made possible with this increase of 0.000018 in total government expenditures?
Nobody who answers yes or no to these questions is capable of providing a demonstration with which a goodwill analyst will have to agree. The problem is that a utilitarian calculus is made by adding and comparing the unobservable and subjective valuations of millions of persons. Moreover, tracing long-term consequences is an epistemological impossibility. Any pretend calculus of the balance of utility is just the author’s own guess, supposedly valid because (as Anthony de Jasay notes) he says-so.
Every charitable person tries to contribute to the causes he finds most worthy. That these evaluations vary widely is shown by the very large number of charitable acts and charitable organizations. Over and above this diversity in charitable activities, a general claim for realistic and “effective” altruism should focus on how individuals signal their needs, as they each perceive them, by serving other individuals’ demand on markets. In other words, effective altruism cannot ignore the efficiency of a market society moved by effective price signals and based on an ethics of reciprocity and formal (not coercive) equality.
Many who have jumped on the bandwagon of effective altruism are rich entrepreneurs, business executives, and youngsters, all morally disoriented and typically not cognizant of economics. It would be highly desirable that they look instead toward classical liberal ethics, of the sort James Buchanan, Friedrich Hayek, or Anthony de Jasay have been defending.
Let me give four examples of what I mean by altruism coherent with classical liberalism. First, consider the Industrial Revolution when, for the first time in the history of mankind, ordinary individuals in the West were left free to try to improve their situation on markets and thereby escaped millennial poverty. Second example, closer to our own time: thanks in large part to less impeded international trade, the proportion of people living in extreme poverty in the world dropped from 44% in 1981 to 12% in 2013, despite a 60% increase in population. The rate of decrease in poverty has slowed down in the last 10 years.
My third example is a specific case of poor people who self-reliantly try to better their conditions by serving customers on markets. Many of my readers must have had the same computer experience as myself: You ask for technical support—say, to Microsoft, which has much improved recently in this respect, at least if you have a very basic business account. You will be able to easily and rapidly get a techie on the phone and on your screen. It is most often somebody with a strong accent, working from India, Africa, or another underdeveloped part of the world. Sometimes, you hear a dog barking in the background and you can nearly imagine the chickens running around. The person is trying hard to help you because this allows him or her to get out of poverty. Being understanding and tolerant toward these people amounts to liberal and effective altruism.
Moreover, Microsoft could not offer such good technical support without resorting to inexpensive manpower (contributing, at the same time, to bidding up these people’s wages). It is, by the way, the same for poor people working in “sweatshops” who make inexpensive shoes and clothes for you and your family.
My fourth example of really effective altruism is to fight protectionism pushed by special interests and relatively rich workers in your own country.
If one does want to be a truly effective altruist, I suggest that his New Year resolution should be to promote free trade and commerce. There is no way to be an effective altruist the way it is currently preached.
READER COMMENTS
Craig Pirrong
Jan 1 2024 at 12:29pm
There are other, perhaps even more devastating, problems with EA.
First is the interpersonal comparability of utility.
Second, and relatedly, is the existence of a social welfare function (which is implicit in EA). The Arrow Impossibility Theorem makes the existence of such a function dubious, at best. A non-dictatorial function is particularly problematic.
Third, and in my view most damning, is the Knowledge Problem. Even assuming the existence of some universal welfare function, (a) how would anyone know what it is, and (b) crucially, given the immense complexity of emergent social systems, how can anyone know how action X will affect the value taken by this function? Never forget the law of unintended consequences.
The first two problems can be avoided if EA actions are limited to those that are Pareto improving (i.e., each individual’s welfare is improved, or at least not reduced), but that does not address the KP.
Further, given the high dimensionality of the action space, and the ability of any individual to affect more than a few elements of the action vector (and even then only in a limited way) means that uncoordinated actions by multiple Ethical Altruists are hardly optimal even disregarding the Knowledge Problem, and may even be welfare reducing.
Ethical Altruism is a recipe for totalitarianism and havoc. Ethical Altruists are like the Sorcerer’s Apprentice. (Allegedly) meaning well, but unleashing chaos.
steve
Jan 1 2024 at 12:48pm
Mostly agree. You can use places like Charity Navigator to figure out which charities are very top heavy on admin costs, not having very much money going to the charitable cause.
Query- Dont we have the equivalent of natural experiments on the utility of money? In a disaster those who make little money suffer food shortages and often need charitable food and shelter to survive. The wealthy, if we are talking those top 400, are able to go stay in a hotel or in another house they own (more likely). They dont suffer food shortages. While utility comparisons are to an extent subjective is it really reasonable to say that having to take the kids to live in a crowded gym/shelter for a week is the same relative loss as having to live in a different mansion?
Steve
Pierre Lemieux
Jan 1 2024 at 4:46pm
Steve: Good question, but the sort of “natural experiment” you mention is not one, for many reasons. If it confirms anything, it is the basic economic assumption or scarcity and one of its implications, which is that a lower generalized purchasing power limits the available choices in one’s feasible set. In the example you give, both the rich and the poor lose utility in a disaster: the proof is that they do not make the preferred accommodation choice they made when their feasible sets were larger (in non-disaster situations). Still, in the situation you consider, no external observer can say if the poor or the rich loses more utility. If you argue that the poor loses more, Mother Teresa would beg to disagree. Moreover, remember that utility is only an ORDINAL ranking of different bundles of goods and activities, and that such rankings are incommensurable. A fortiori, of course, the “total” utility of two persons, if there is such a thing, is not comparable. Who says that the redneck in Appalachia with his generator and guns is not happier than the rich in the rat race and under the watchful eye of the DoJ? Or, for that matter, the monk than the billionaire? De gustibus non est disputandum.
To understand this economic reasoning better, Lionel Robbins’s 1932-1935 Essay on the Nature and Significance of Economic Science is an easy book worth reading; my Regulation review would give you some elements. If you wish to know more about the development of formal utility theory, you might follow with the 1934 Allen and Hicks articles that I quote; with your scientific training, the second one should be readable. Closer to us, you might like to have a look at chapter 5 of Paul Samuelson’s 1947 Foundations of Economic Analysis. Gary Becker’s 2007 Economic Theory shows, also quite mathematized, shows the fruitfulness of this formal approach to utility despite its minimal, Occam-like assumptions. There is no need to try the mission impossible of getting into two persons’ minds and subjective preferences.
David Seltzer
Jan 1 2024 at 6:31pm
Pierre: Comprehensive explanation. Good stuff! I continue to learn and my “utils” of satisfaction increase. (A little humor there). I know the assumption of cardinal utility is unrealistic as satisfaction cannot be measured objectively. For some it may be linear for other individuals it may be non-linear. Sort of like a pain scale. For example, scaling pain from 1 to 5 is y= mx +b for an MMA fighter or y = e^x for a kid with a broken arm.
Pierre Lemieux
Jan 1 2024 at 10:19pm
David: When a nurse asked me, looking at her screen, where was my pain on a scale from 1 to 10, I told her that I have no way of knowing what 10 is and that it also depends on whether her function is linear, exponential, or logarithmic.
More to the point, note that an individual’s (ordinal) utility function U=(x, y), where x and y are two goods or services (or activities), can have any form but is unique except for a monotonic transformation. I remember when I was a student to have been impressed by the neat characterization of a monotonic transformation in Henderson & Quandt’s Microeconomic Theory (I quote a footnote on p. 19 of the original 1958 edition):
David Seltzer
Jan 2 2024 at 8:40am
Thank you Pierre!
robc
Jan 2 2024 at 11:12am
http://hyperboleandahalf.blogspot.com/2010/02/boyfriend-doesnt-have-ebola-probably.html
The improved pain scale is now nearly 14 years old, why hasnt it been adopted by the medical community?
Richard W Fulmer
Jan 3 2024 at 3:15pm
One more reason why nurses hate patients who are economists, statisticians, or scientists.
Dylan
Jan 1 2024 at 3:49pm
I’d argue that this is a way to be a truly ineffective altruist, not because free trade and commerce are not effective, I’d agree that there is strong evidence that free markets may be the best “cure” for poverty ever invented. However, I’d argue that for the average person “promoting” free trade is an even less effective signal than voting is. In fact, voting for the more free market candidate is probably the best thing that most of us can do to “promote” free trade. Which isn’t a whole lot.
On the other hand, an individual who wants to try and make a difference in the world today was not that long ago faced with a bunch of choices, but little evidence of if they were effective even based on their own criteria. A non-profit like Givewell stepped in to the market gap for people who wanted to donate and have some idea that the money is helping. Yes, there is a utilitarian calculus to it, but they are remarkably transparent about how they try to make those calculations and they landed on lives saved. Which, seems like it should be compatible with most deontological moral theories as well. I’ve never read something that gives the idea they are trying to calculate utils in a way that would make them susceptible to utility monster worries. I’m honestly amazed that the idea of “hey, so you have some money and you’d like to try to save some lives with it, here’s some data on where we think you can save the most lives per dollar you donate” can cause so much controversy.
Pierre Lemieux
Jan 1 2024 at 5:05pm
Dylan: You save one life of an 80-year old or of a 30-year-old? You save the life of a 20-year-old woman who can have at most 2o children or of a 20-year-old man who can easily have 50 (especially if you choose him in the Middle East)? Of a poor in a destitute country or a poor (but relatively rich) in a rich country? You save the life of somebody who will save more lives (say Mother Teresa or a fireman instead of a soldier or a cop) or of an egoist? You save the life of a smoker or of a Mormon? Of somebody who is dying to die to start his eternal life or of an hedonist instead? Of a sinner or a non-sinner? Of somebody who has more chances of becoming a Hitler or not? And so forth. The field of “population ethics” deals with such questions, which do not have an utilitarian answer: I mention some problems in a Regulation article I cited in a recent post.
Dylan
Jan 1 2024 at 8:36pm
Pierre,
Those criticisms would be more valid if EA charities were trying (or even had the ability to) make those kinds of distinctions. In reality, for both practical and ethical purposes it makes sense to treat all lives as having equal value.
From the examples given in your post, none of which would meet the definition of altruism, or putting the needs of others above your own, it seems that is the concept you have an issue with more so than the “fad”of effective altruism?
My view of Givewell, is that it fills a gap that had been in the market. From the recent EconTalk episode, the founder was looking for data on effectiveness because he wanted to donate to the causes he found most worthy, but didn’t have any way to tell which ones were actually effective. At the time, about the closest you had was admin overhead ratios, which doesn’t tell you much about whether the charity is effective. They focused in on charities in a narrow range of fields focused on global well-being as the ones they found most worthy and tried to find ways, imperfect as they are, to measure effectiveness across organizations doing very different things.
They aren’t saying that you need to agree with them on what they find valuable or donate to only their causes, but for people that broadly share the same values, here is some data. And, while they’ve been successful in the market, they haven’t come close to becoming dominant. Givewell isn’t even in the top 100 U.S. charities by donation amount according to Forbes
robc
Jan 2 2024 at 11:14am
“Souls saved” might be more compatible with many deontological moral theories.
Scott Sumner
Jan 1 2024 at 6:16pm
I believe that effective altruism is clearly the right approach toward altruism. What would be the sense of ineffective altruism? Yes, some EA proponents commit ethical lapses. But there are fools in any ideology. Would one reject Christianity because a priest molested someone?
Utilitarianism is widely misunderstood. It does not tell us that it’s OK to steal $1 from a rich person and give it to a poor person. It says that the world would be a better place if people acted in such a way as to maximize aggregate utility. Crime has a corrosive effect on society, which goes far beyond the transfer of funds.
“If one does want to be a truly effective altruist, I suggest that his New Year resolution should be to promote free trade and commerce.”
Most of the effective altruists that I know have libertarian views on most policy issues, and already support free trade.
Pierre Lemieux
Jan 1 2024 at 9:47pm
Thanks for your comment, Scott, which raises interesting questions. Note however that my claim has nothing to do with whether or not some “effective altruists” have committed crimes. It is that, since aggregate utility does not exist, there is no point trying to maximize it. If unicorns do not exist, it is not useful to be an effective unicorn maximizer.
But perhaps I am taking a shortcut and it can be claimed that “aggregate utility” exists on society’s (ordinal) utility frontier. Even then, however, maximizing it at the bliss point (chosen by the electorate despite Arrow’s theorem, by Congress, or by you, or by me) would require continuous lump-sum redistribution of income as demonstrated by Paul Samuelson (see his “Social Indifference Curves,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Feb. 1956). I think it is true to say that welfare economics self-destructed by discovering that there is no other way to maximize social welfare. (It is important to realize that maximizing social welfare is not the same as obtaining Pareto improvements or even getting on the production possibility frontier.)
The best we can hope, I suggest, is that many people, each with his own opinions on who is most in need and where the bliss point is, give to a variety of charities, thereby in some sense supplementing every individual taking care of his own utility.
What do you think of Parfitt’s Trolley Problem, which can be seen as a very simple utilitarian exercise compared with maximizing utility in a whole society?
T Boyle
Jan 3 2024 at 6:21pm
I’ll build on Scott’s point about forced interpersonal transfers, and I hope to be a little provocative.
Market forces mean that those who will become very wealthy nevertheless will retain only a tiny fraction of the wealth they create for consumers.
If we increase tax rates on people who would become very wealthy, and manage to persuade them that they should maximize their personal utility by doing other things with their time, the social cost could be enormous – vastly more than the additional tax revenue received (because the tax would be applied only to the entrepreneur’s share of the value).
Now, with that in mind, if we commit the fallacy of comparing interpersonal utility and we assume that $1 is worth a lot less to a future Bill Gates than it is to a marginal consumer, we may find that instead of raising tax rates on the future Bill Gates, we should reduce them. Heck, we might pay a net subsidy to a future Bill Gates. Why? Because we really, really don’t want that future Bill Gates to prioritize family, hobbies or vacations, because of the social cost such “selfishness” would create. Remember, Bill Gates (and other “self-made” billionaires) famously display insane levels of work ethic – and we emphatically do not want them to adopt “sane” levels and behave like “normal” people. The primary tool available to us to incentivize such people is money – and $1 has less value to them than it has to any of the rest of us, so we’re effectively going to have to offer them a great deal of money for marginal hours of their time! (By the way, there could be other tools – consider the UK’s “honors” system, with its non-monetary status boost.)
Conclusion: when people display that combination of vision, creativity, leadership and insane work ethic that can be transformative, for utility maximization we should think about how to lower, not raise their marginal tax rates, especially if we engage in the fallacy of thinking that they “value” a dollar less than the rest of us would.
Thomas L Hutcheson
Jan 1 2024 at 7:36pm
This is EA advice, but it depends on how effective one is in promoting trade and commerce. And of course one might promote them in ways’ that do not conflict with other EA activities. EA.
And from MY POV the most effective kind of trade and commerce one can promote would be with a tax on CO2 emissions, which is where the greatest obstacles to trade is.
robc
Jan 2 2024 at 11:04am
EMH suggests that all altruism is effective altruism.
Yes, some giving looks bad to me. But to the giver, probably not, at least subject to the level of effort they want to put into it.
Pierre Lemieux
Jan 3 2024 at 7:21pm
robc: That’s an important part of my argument.
robc
Jan 4 2024 at 9:13am
Yes.
Some EA argued that things like charities that give poor kids the chance to see the opera arent effective, because many of the recipients may even consider it torture.
I said it is effective, because torturing poor kids is probably the goal of those donating.
Cole M.
Jan 2 2024 at 6:55pm
The point of EA is to reduce death and misery more efficiently. EA is not an abstruse utilitarian calculation to find the optimum beneficiary of charity. There is no such person, either in principle or in reality. Rather, EA seeks to identify particular causes that are unusually efficient in saving lives. Multiple causes can meet this threshold (vaccination, clean water, etc.) based on our current flawed interpretation and judgment of the data. It’s ironic that you fail to mention that EA was developed in response to strong market demand for more data-driven philanthropy.
Thomas L Hutcheson
Jan 3 2024 at 10:01am
I get that EA does not appeal to everyone, especially if one does not like utilitarianism.
I do not get the slight hostility (sometimes not so slight) it generates. 🙂
Roger McKinney
Jan 3 2024 at 11:13am
There is still room for charity, buy we’ve been doing it wrong since 1965 and Johnson’s Great Society. Indiscriminate giving does more harm than good. Marvin Olasky teaches the right wat to do charity in The Tragedy of American Compassion.
robc
Jan 3 2024 at 2:51pm
Government spending isnt charity.
Roger McKinney
Jan 3 2024 at 7:53pm
True, but the article wasn’t just about government spending. Since you mention it, the real problem with government spending is that it’s indiscriminate and encourages people to rely on it rather than work.
Richard W Fulmer
Jan 3 2024 at 12:07pm
When the idea of a $15.00 an hour minimum wage was first broached, the CBO did a study indicating that the increase would help 17 million people and hurt 1.4 million. We’d be helping twelve times as many people as we’d be hurting. An obvious net gain, right?
Well, maybe. Who are the people most likely to be helped by the increase? The most employable – that is, the most educated, most skilled, most experienced, most physically and mentally able, and the least discriminated against. Who are the people most likely to be hurt? The least employable – that is, the least educated, least skilled, least experienced, least physically and mentally able, and the most discriminated against. So, the wage increase would help those who need the least help and hurt those who need the most.
And, by blocking those who need the most help from entering the job market, we probably hurt them for the rest of their lives. On the other hand, the most employable would, in a dynamic economy, be making more than the minimum wage within a year or two regardless.
How do we calculate whether the harm we would be causing to the few outweighs the help we’d be giving to the majority?
Richard Kain
Jan 4 2024 at 1:58pm
The article’s dismantling of the difficulty of the utilitarian concept of quantifying aggregate utility is theoretically sound, but I think misapplied to the (utilitarian-inspired but not synonymous with) EA movement in practice, which is really about the ethics of specific utility — how much to give and who to give it to.
Your line “Utilitarian “calculations” are guesses based on intuitions” shows the gap. EA organizations such as GiveWell put tremendous work into rationally quantifying the effect of a donation. They formalize this into a metric of “life saved.” One can question the definitions, methodology or reliability of the number, but it’s the opposite of a frou-frou guess of hypothetical utility changes in stealing a dollar from Bill Gates.
Indeed “Every charitable person tries to contribute to the causes he finds most worthy.” EA challenges 1) How you evaluate the worthiness and 2) Push people to reflect on the specific utility of all your dollars. Instead of buying a fancy shoe or gifting a brand new dorm at the alma mater you should consider giving Vitamin A supplements in Africa. No EA advocate would fall for a hypothetical “well you get more units of utility through praise from and envy by classmates at the reunion than xx,000 more people would get from living thanks to more Vitamin A tablets.”
In general the libertarian critique that capitalism is going to get more people out of poverty and higher standards of utility than charitable giving is surely true. EA folks (strangely to me) are often left-wing and I wish they’d use a similar intellectual framework to evaluate political choices such as trade liberalism.
But you’d find vanishingly few EA advocates critiquing a Microsoft hire in the Philippines. It’s more likely they’d say a CS degree holder should go work for them as well in Redmond, and donate the world-historic compensation they’d receive to effective causes!
Jonathan Salter
Jan 18 2024 at 8:45am
With all due respect, I believe your arguments do not really engage with the best EA arguments, and I believe they can be adequately replied to.
Although this does not cover everything, it’s a good start. I would humby suggest talking a length with some EA economists. https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/does-capitalism-beat-charity and https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-capitalism
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