[The ideas in this post are tentative, so please correct me on any errors regarding the UK political system.]
As an outsider, the parliamentary system in the UK always seemed quite different from the US system, mostly due to the different roles of the president of the US and the prime minister of the UK. In the UK, voters elect a party, or a coalition of parties, and the party elects a leader. The leader would sometimes be changed in midstream if things were not going well.
In the US, maverick politicians such as Goldwater and McGovern could almost “hijack” their parties, and take control against the wishes of the party establishment. Trump and Sanders are more recent examples of maverick politicians.
In the UK, ordinary party members (i.e. voters) have recently been given increasing clout in the selection of leadership. Corbyn staged a sort of internal coup with grassroots support, taking control of the Labour Party against the wishes of many Labour MPs. Boris Johnson is somewhat more mainstream, but did oppose party leadership on Brexit. Increasingly, the Conservatives seem to be being reshaped to reflect their leadership, rather than vice versa. UK voters increasingly are choosing between people like Corbyn and Johnson, rather than Labour vs. Conservatives.
In contrast, US voters are much more attached to their party in presidential votes than when I was young. But in both countries, blue-collar voters in smaller cities are moving right, and highly educated voters in bigger cities are moving left.
Many Americans prefer our three-branch system of government, with all its “checks and balances.” One often hears the suggestion that the UK government is little more than an “elected dictatorship”. But based on what I’ve read, the UK government is gradually becoming a bit less of an elected dictatorship, as the British courts are increasingly likely to push back against a government initiative.
Meanwhile, the US president is increasingly becoming an “elected dictator”:
When the Pentagon announced this month that it would divert billions more dollars in military funding to the construction of President Donald Trump’s border wall, bipartisan outrage ricocheted across Capitol Hill.
Republicans and Democrats alike issued fiery statements in defense of both their congressional districts, some of which stand to lose valuable work making military equipment, and their constitutionally enshrined power of the purse. But the howls of protest are unlikely to amount to much in a Congress where lawmakers — many of whom once prized their spending prerogatives almost above all else — acknowledge their power to steer federal dollars has been severely eroded.
The dysfunction has taken hold in large part because of decisions that members of Congress themselves have made. But it has become particularly pronounced under Trump, who has moved aggressively to divert government money when it suits his agenda.
“Congress’ appropriation power, which is pretty much the last unchallenged power that Congress has, has very significantly eroded,” said Sean Kelly, a professor of political science at California State University Channel Islands.
The root of the problem predates Trump.
That final sentence is important. Although I am strongly opposed to certain authoritarian tendencies in the Trump administration, it’s important to note that this has been going on for years, and recent events are merely an acceleration of trends that began at least as far back as WWI.
Here’s a tentative hypothesis. In a globalized world, countries like the US and UK are buffeted by similar forces, involving changes in everything from technology to cultural norms. Over time, they gradually evolve in the same way. If the US Constitution seems to prevent our system from resembling another, then those constitutional restraints will be sort of brushed away. Don’t count on our Constitution to protect us from an elected dictatorship:
The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people.
That train’s already left the station. The US Constitution says Congress declares war, Congress sets tariff rates, Congress votes on spending money for a wall. There is no taking of land except for public purposes. Those traditions have all been brushed aside.
PS. This also fits in with the famous “end of history” hypothesis. Increasingly, it seems that all over the world the debate over fundamental questions has ended, and it’s now a question of which elected dictator will be chosen. You have Putin, Erdogan, Modi, Abe, Orban, Duterte, etc. If China ever became a democracy, I wonder if they’d elect a dictator like Xi Jinping? Is China really that different from India? A 1984-style surveillance state is being created almost everywhere.
No one knew it at the time, but Silvio Berlusconi and his farcical party entitled “Forza Italia” was the canary in the coal mine for global democracy. Berlusconi took control of Italian media, and then the entire country.
READER COMMENTS
Nicholas Weininger
Feb 22 2020 at 5:52pm
Luigi Zingales knew it at the time:
https://www.city-journal.org/html/dodging-trump-bullet-10850.html
Scott Sumner
Feb 23 2020 at 1:52pm
Great article.
Weir
Feb 23 2020 at 8:33pm
Luigi Zingales: “In a country where corruption and lack of meritocracy has all but killed the hope of intra-generational mobility, citizens chose to escape from reality and find consolation in dreams.”
This explains Corbyn’s popularity with people locked out of the housing market. Or maybe if you racked up a lot of student debt and have nothing to show for it. Then you’ll like Bernie or Liz.
Do you like funneling subsidies into inefficient and unreliable electricity companies? Then you do like crony capitalism, and what you’ll want to regulate into non-existence is all the progress made in these first few years of the fracking revolution.
What you won’t like is the name crony capitalism. It has the word capitalism in it, and we heard the booing in Las Vegas when that word was spoken. But the policies of crony capitalism are Bernie’s policies. They’re Warren’s policies. And the only problem with Solyndra was that the government didn’t spend enough to prop it up. The insurance companies who wrote the Affordable Care Act show the way forward towards a more regulated and ordered society. Enron was green before green was in.
The doublethink is too much for me to untangle. Have the Democrats in 2020 come to the conclusion that subsidies and regulations are bad things? No. Does it even make sense to worry, as Zingales does, that people who support crony capitalism will associate crony capitalism, which they support, with Trump?
They like washing machines being made more expensive but they want the rationale to have something to do with the Green New Deal instead.
Gareth Rowswell
Feb 23 2020 at 2:22am
Ref your comment “But based on what I’ve read, the UK government is gradually becoming a bit less of an elected dictatorship, as the British courts are increasingly likely to push back against a government initiative”
The new government is looking at making changes to the independence of the courts as a consequence of the pushing back on the machinations used by the last Government to prorouge Parliament and prevent debate / legislation on the Brexit legislation. The Supreme Court in the UK is a relatively new independent branch of the Judiciary – previously the highest court in the Land were the Law Lords sitting in the unelected but somewhat political second chamber – the House of Lords. One suggestion being considered is to put them back into this Chamber.
So maybe we will head back in the other direction – slightly more dictatorial.
Mike Sandifer
Feb 23 2020 at 6:24am
Is this a shift for you? You seem to now be less optimistic about the American system holding up under authoritarian pressure.
Scott Sumner
Feb 23 2020 at 1:49pm
I think it will hold up in the medium term, but we are gradually losing freedom.
Not really a shift of position. I’ve worried about the 1984-scenario for quite some time.
Thaomas
Feb 23 2020 at 9:18am
There is nothing particularly structural about Presidential power. Congress can rein it in at anytime it wants to.
Fred_in_PA
Feb 23 2020 at 1:07pm
I wonder if we aren’t missing the distinction between power and authority: Power being the ability to influence and authority being the right to. Congress is authorized to rein in the Presidency but may practically lack the ability.
We likely would object to any move to forbid my raising my right arm. Yet if I am paralyzed, I may lack the ability — likely due to some problem in my neurology. Should we be looking instead at the mechanisms of internal control within the political parties? Why do — why should — Mitch McConnell and Nancy Pelosi have so much power?
Scott Sumner
Feb 23 2020 at 1:50pm
You said:
“Congress can rein it in at anytime it wants to.”
That’s also true in China, but Fred in PA gets at the real problem.
nobody.really
Feb 24 2020 at 1:25pm
To put a finer point on the matter: Yes, Congress has the authority to rein in the president–but in two minutes I can explain how a popular president has the power to punish disobedient Congressmen.
When it comes to choosing between principle and self-preservation, which objective weighs more heavily in a lawmaker’s mind? Unless your name is Romney, you already know the answer.
Robert Schadler
Feb 23 2020 at 2:06pm
Seems you are musing about three different but possibly related questions:
1. Are the US and UK systems moving toward greater similarities?
2. Are there global forces that are working toward “popularly elected dictators”?
3. Is there something (improperly) call “globalization” affecting a wide range of democratic countries? (Globalization, in my sense, affects the entire global; international forces affect more than one country, but not every country.)
A few points:
Progressives since W. Wilson have wanted a more parliamentary system.
Congress, since at least FDR, has been hesitant to use its most potent powers of the sword (declaring war) and the purse (passing a budget that has major congressional input).
The rise of the size and scope of the national government has created a fourth “branch”: bureaucracy/administrative state (deep state for some as the strongest element) that tilts establishment/left. Executive or Judicial overreach/abuse is rarely an issue when it coincides with administrative state preferences (usually more money and power for its policies). It does arise when the elected president moves against the admin state.
The US and UK systems both allow “the people” to have somewhat significant influence on governance. Each has evolved greatly but are still very different. The party leader and the Prime Minister can be ousted in one day; takes months if not years in the U.S.
There are a few salient issues at the moment affecting both countries in somewhat similar ways due to erosion of the importance of their political borders. Large number of immigrants, impact of trade, massive and quick flows of money, cross-border crime and terrorism, enduring treaty int’l obligations/treaties that curb national sovereignty (and thus the role of the “people” to influence policy in these areas).
Both countries (parties and governments in both) have, so far, stumbled in both how to implement a satisfactory policy and to convince the bulk of the public that they are “getting the job done.” Not sure these are enduring, unsolvable issue for both countries (and a few others).
A much bigger issue: is varying democratic elements no longer up to the challenge of governing successfully — e.g. are sep. of powers and checks and balances and referencing public approval in some fashion — no longer effective ways of governing?
marcus nunes
Feb 26 2020 at 2:33pm
“No longer is the presidency the person who presides over the affairs of state. All of life has become an affair of state. The presidency is not just an administrator of things related to the federal government. He or she is the head of the whole country and everything and everyone in it, plus sizable parts of the rest of the world.”
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