Orgel’s second rule states “evolution is cleverer than you are.” By this, he meant that our inability to explain how this or that feature might have evolved only demonstrates a lack of imagination or understanding on our part. It does not serve as positive evidence against the evolution of that feature. But there’s another meaning one can take from this – certain features of evolution that might seem inefficient or counterproductive may in fact actually serve as efficient adaptations to the constraints under which those features evolved.
To see an example of this in action, consider this rather amusing talk given by Douglas Adams on the mating ritual of the kakapo, a flightless parrot native to New Zealand. He goes into detail about how every aspect of the kakapo’s mating ritual seems actively counterproductive to actually producing offspring:
He describes the overall process as “incredibly long and drawn-out, fantastically complicated and almost entirely ineffective.” The first problem is “that the mating call of the male kakapo actively repels the female,” which certainly seems like a suboptimal start. He then describes how the kakapo mating call consists of deep, pulsing bass sound. This creates another complication, Adams says. He makes an analogy with a home speaker system, consisting of two smaller speakers “that give you your treble sound and you have to put them very carefully in the room, because they’re going to define the stereo image.” But you also have a subwoofer to produce bass sounds, “and you can put that anywhere in the room you like. You can put it behind the sofa if you like, because the other characteristic of bass sound – and remember, we’re talking about the mating call of the male kakapo – is that you can’t tell where it’s coming from.” Summing up the whole scenario, we are informed that for the female kakapo’s part, “supposing she’s out there, which she probably isn’t, and supposing she likes the sound of the booming, which she probably doesn’t, and supposing she can find him, which she probably can’t, she will then only consent to mate if the Pōhutukawa tree is in fruit.”
Now, one might study this mating process and think that evolution dropped the ball here. How on earth could it have been a good thing for kakapos to evolve such an inefficient mating ritual? But there is an answer.
On New Zealand, the kakapo had no natural predators, and thus faced no checks on its population. As a result, if kakapos bred like proverbial rabbits, they would quickly end up overpopulating the island on which they lived, harming their own long-term survival. The incredibly inefficient mating rituals of the kakapo actually turn out to be an efficient adaptation to keep population levels in check in the absence of predation or other outside pressures. And this convoluted mating process still resulted in an island that was teeming with kakapos – if they were able to mate any more effectively, they’d have actually harmed their own survival prospects. Just like with the institution of gift-giving among humans, what initially appears to be highly inefficient when viewed in static terms turns out to be dynamically efficient, once one has a deeper understanding. The upshot – evolved social norms, customs, and institutions that seem to “make no sense” or even seem to be socially harmful may very well turn out to be like the kakapo mating ritual – a seemingly inefficient practice that is actually an efficient adaptation.
Unfortunately, this adaptation that was once an asset is now a threat, because the circumstances the kakapo face now are very different from the circumstances under which this mating ritual evolved. Predators have been introduced to the island, and the kakapo has no instinct to flee from predators, or from people. As a result, this once abundant animal is now critically endangered yet repopulation depends on this unchanged mating ritual – which does not bode well for the prospect of recovery.
So am I just rambling, or do I have an overall point? Of course I do, which is [dear EconLog editor, please insert a point here. 😉 ] But that point aside, we should take this as an opportunity to reflect on what Hayek said about about the distinction between law and legislation, and why we cannot “altogether dispense with legislation.”
F. A. Hayek was as strong a defender of the value of evolved order as one is likely to find. But in Rules and Order, the first volume of Law, Legislation, and Liberty, Hayek also says there are times when “grown law requires correction by legislation.” One such circumstance comes about when “the spontaneous process of growth may lead to an impasse from which it cannot extricate itself by its own forces or which it will at least not correct quickly enough.” Thinking about the current situation of the kakapo made me think back to this statement by Hayek. (Yes, I did somehow draw a connection between the mating rituals of flightless parrots and Hayek’s work on social order. That’s just how my mind works – I don’t really understand it myself, but here we are.) Evolution is far too slow for the kakapo to develop a new mating ritual for its radically new environment. Similarly, cultural and institutional evolution may be too slow to adapt to changes in our social environment, leading to situations where legislation may be necessary.
However, it also seems important to keep an extremely high bar for this idea. First of all, it’s very difficult to justifiably know whether a social institution is genuinely inefficient or harmful, or if it might be efficiently inefficient in a way you can’t understand. Second, even if we do know a social institution is suboptimal, it’s often far from clear what a solution might be, and people have a strong bias to think they understand more than they do. And we need strong reasons to think the net benefits will be very large, because top-down alterations of evolved orders incur significant transaction costs. Richard Hooker put it best:
When people see things suddenly discarded, annulled, and rejected that long custom had made into matters of second nature, they are bewildered, and begin to doubt whether anything is in itself naturally good or evil, rather than simply whatever men choose to call it at any given moment…Thus, whenever we change any law, in the eyes of the people it cannot help but impair and weaken the force that makes all laws effectual.
Hooker then concludes,
If the newer laws are only slightly more beneficial, we should generally conclude that to endure a minor sore is better than to attempt a dangerous remedy.
How often is it the case that we find ourselves circumstances where we should attempt a remedy? I’m not sure. But the answer isn’t “never.” Unfortunately, while Hayek does describe a few different circumstances where, in principle, legislation can serve as a useful corrective to grown law, I’m not aware of him citing specific, concrete examples of this in practice.
But I’d also be curious to hear from the readers. How often is it the case that top down correction of evolved institutions can be beneficial? And what’s the greater risk? The possibility that we will overestimate our ability to carry out such remedies effectively, and end up doing more harm than good by constantly trying to tinker with a system we don’t understand? Or that an overly strong reluctance to attempt such remedies will leave us in the same position as the kakapo, stuck with behaviors that were once helpful but are now harmful?
READER COMMENTS
David Seltzer
Sep 10 2024 at 5:03pm
Kevin wrote, “Similarly, cultural and institutional evolution may be too slow to adapt to changes in our social environment, leading to situations where legislation may be necessary” and asked, “How often is it the case that top down correction of evolved institutions can be beneficial? And what’s the greater risk?” Jim Crow laws in the South were legislated against per the Civil Rights Act of 1964. The law prohibited unequal application of voter registration requirements, racial segregation in schools, public services and employer discrimination. Individuals may feel their property rights and right to discriminate are severely restricted. The SCOTUS Bakke decision in 1978 said upheld Affirmative Action but ruled against using racial quotas. Provocative Post!
David Seltzer
Sep 10 2024 at 5:35pm
Upon reflection, I should have referenced Brown v. Board of Education of Topeka. To wit. State laws that allow racial segregation in schools are unconstitutional.
steve
Sep 11 2024 at 11:43am
This was always an ongoing issue in the medical field. New and better therapies, drugs, procedures would be introduced and solid evidence establishing that superiority would be established but older docs would still hang onto what they learned in training. Improvements would gradually be accepted largely by having more recent graduates go out into the communities. This has been addressed using guidelines and sometimes even legislation.
This has had a mixed effect AFAICT. Sometimes it has had very positive effects, especially in areas where it was pretty awful that it should ever have needed any intervention, where the evidence was overwhelming. However, there are other areas where guidelines and regs have been set not based upon evidence but what are assumed to be best practices. Those guidelines and regs, IMO, are much more likely to introduce inefficiencies w/o a corresponding improvement in clinical care. Occasionally they even make clinical care worse.
On balance I dont if the positives outweigh the negatives. We are certainly more aware of and bothered by the negatives. We are less aware of the improved outcomes due to the acceleration of acceptance of better practices.
Steve
steve
Sep 12 2024 at 11:38am
Forgot to add this paper. It looks at how long it takes new practices to be broadly accepted into practice. This paper is from 2011 but it concluded that it took 17 years for wide acceptance. Guidelines and regs are used to speed this up. There are more recent papers looking at this issue and it looks like things may be speeding up but it’s mostly among younger physicians.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3241518/#:~:text=It%20is%20frequently%20stated%20that,evidence%20to%20reach%20clinical%20practice.&text=Balas%20and%20Bohen%2C16%20Grant,different%20points%20of%20the%20process.
Steve
gwern
Sep 11 2024 at 1:25pm
This is just group selectionism and thus wrong. Evolution does not operate for the good of the kakapo group, and has no interest in checks on the kakapo population or the “kakapo long-term survival”. Whatever the reason for the details of the kapapo mating ritual (one can usually safely guess sexual selection if it’s about odd-seeming male behavior), it’s nothing about ‘an adaptation to keep population levels in check’, because any individual kakapo would benefit from defecting, having more kakapos than their ‘share’ (as if it was some sort of socialist or communist utopia!), and their genes would spread through the kakapo population.
And since I know that can’t be the explanation, I think to check Wikipedia for takes from ornithologists now rather than comedians 35 years ago, and it gives an explanation of kakapo breeding as a lekking competition where females need to find males to evaluate and usually reject them, which is entirely sensible under the original island ecological conditions, and doesn’t need to invoke group selectionist teleology about ‘the good of the species’: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K%C4%81k%C4%81p%C5%8D#Breeding
Matthias
Sep 12 2024 at 5:48am
I was going to write exactly the same comment, but you did it better.
As an analogy to economics:
The ‘invisible hand’ of the market can ‘see’ a bit further than evolution, because it’s run on humans. But it’s mostly also a hill climbing process. Thus radical resets can occasionally be beneficial.
The French revolution might serve as an example. At least in some respects.
Modern economies with exposure to competition from global markets might be less in need of such artificial jolts. Competition both for goods and services, but also for labour in the form of emigration (and immigration) to other parts of the global labour market.
Gwern, your article on evolution (and market competition) as an expensive backstop to otherwise more agile systems might be relevant here.
Grand Rapids Mike
Sep 24 2024 at 9:16am
In sports changes are introduced by the regulating bodies for varies reasons. In Major League Baseball (MLB) games were taking too long and reducing fan interest. So a pitch clock was introduced by MLB, requiring a 20 second allowance for a pitcher to throw a pitch. The benefit is that a 9 inning game is significantly faster, resulting in a greater fan interest. However there is some concern that by reducing the time a pitcher has to recover from throwing a pitch it may cause more arm injuries, which is already a problem. So far studies are inconclusive on this issue. So for now the legislative solution seems to have worked. Would add that the pitch clock was introduces at the minor league level to see how it would work.
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