The recent story of Robinhood and the “short squeeze” on GameStop has raised the question whether Robinhood was doing some squeezing of its own, applied to the delicates of the small traders it serves. The comedian and renowned financial analyst John Stewart said it was all, somehow, “bullshit.” An article in New York magazine declared “Robinhood banning GameStop proves the free market is a lie” without, however, saying whether the “lie” is that “the free market” works in some sense or, instead, that we have “the free market” at all. Strange bedfellows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ted Cruz “fully agree” that the situation is “unacceptable.” The New York Times, however, has published an establishment-friendly piece explaining “Why Robinhood had to risk infuriating its customers.” Who are the good guys here and who are the bad guys? Elon Musk wants to know. He recently grilled Robinhood’s CEO, demanding, “Did you sell your clients down the river or did you have no choice?” Good question, that.
Recall the elements of the story. GameStop looked like a business on the brink of collapse. It seemed like a good bet that its stock price would fall. Hedge funds put in bets that the price would indeed fall by “shorting” GameStop stock. That means they 1) borrowed the stock, promising to return it to the owner by a specified date and 2) sold the borrowed stock right away. You can see how this works. If the price goes down, you’re selling it now at the high price and buying it back later at the low price. Ka-ching! But if the price goes up, you’re selling it now at the low price and buying it back later at the high price. Ouch!
In the GameStop episode, traders on the subreddit r/wallstreetbets started buying the stock. That drove the price up. That’s a “short squeeze,” in which short sellers must scrabble to buy potentially over-valued stocks. Okay, ouch for the hedge funds. Ho hum. But here’s the thing: “at the end of December more than 138% of its shares available for trading were sold short.” Yep. It’s possible to have more than 100% “short interest.” If you buy the stock from one short seller and then lend it to another short seller, that one stock is owed to two parties. If that sort of thing happens enough, you can have more than 100% of the stock sold short. A short squeeze plus 138% short interest caused the price of GameStop stocks to rise – a lot. On the first trading day in January, the price was $17.25. On the last trading day, it was $325. That’s an increase of 1,784%. Ouch! Ouch! Ouch!
The “Redditors” squeezed the heck out of the hedge funds. A win for the little guy! But then suddenly you couldn’t buy GameStop on Robinhood, the broker so many of these “Redditors” used. Robinhood had restricted trading in GameStop stock and several other stocks experiencing similar gyrations.
Does this episode prove that “the free market is a lie”? I suppose it depends on where you think the lie is. I think it is no “lie” that free markets generally “work,” although simple formulas can lead you astray. We should heed Hayek’s admonition to eschew the “wooden insistence” on “the principle of laissez faire.” The “lie,” which is no lie at all but just an unfortunate error, is that financial markets are free. Financial markets are heavily regulated and have little to do with “the free market.” Let’s look at Robinhood’s action in the context of all that regulation.
Robinhood is a broker. It is a FINRA-regulated broker-dealer. It relies on a clearing house to clear its transactions. The clearing house it uses is the National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC), which is a subsidiary of the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC). Thus, Robinhood is a “member” of NSCC. The NSCC is a “designated financial market utility” as defined in the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act. Thus, it is “a financial market utility that the Council has designated as a systemically important.” (“The Council” is a regulatory body created by Dodd-Frank. Its ten voting members include the Treasury Secretary, the Fed chair, and the comptroller of the currency.) NSCC is a provider of “financial market infrastructure” (FMI). As such, it must publicly promulgate rules for the computation of the “Clearing Fund” every “member” must maintain with it. While the FMI is responsible for designing its own rules for determining the clearing fund, they are subject to approval or rejection by the regulatory authorities. In particular, the SEC may prohibit any changes NSCC wants to make in its formula for computing the clearing fund of each member. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has promulgated a set of “principles” that member states should adhere to in regulating payment and settlement systems. These include, “An FMI should maintain sufficient financial resources to cover its credit exposure to each participant fully with a high degree of confidence.”
Thus, the regulatory authorities require clearing houses to require members to keep a risk-adjusted balance with them as a guard against credit risk. In the case of Robinhood, the short squeeze drove this formulaic value up sharply. Robinhood didn’t really have much of a choice about how to respond. It had to both pony up more money for the clearing fund and act to hold off (to the extent possible) further increases in it. Robinhood had to borrow a lot of money to maintain its clearing fund.
We can now answer Elon Musk’s question. Given the institutional environment it occupies, Robinhood had no choice but to suspend purchases of GameStop. And, as far as I know, Robinhood did not shape that environment. As far as I know, Robinhood is an institution taker, not an institution maker. What about Robinhood’s clearing house, NSCC? It didn’t have a choice either. It had to demand increased contributions to Robinhood’s clearing fund. The algorithm for determining the clearing fund was locked in at that point. The much-discussed restrictions on trading GameStop were not ad hoc, discretionary, arbitrary, or avoidable. Not, at least, given the pre-existing and overarching regulatory environment. It’s just not true that “Wall Street” somehow “decided” to screw the Redditors. Nor is it true that “the government” somehow “decided” to screw the Redditors. Once the short squeeze was on, restrictions on trading GameStop were pretty much inevitable.
No one specifically decided to give the Redditors a smackdown. So everything’s great, then? No! The regulatory environment is not meant to help the little guy. It rigs the system in favor of Big Players and incumbent interests. As I have explained elsewhere, “The Dodd–Frank Act creates a regime of discretionary regulation.” It is discretionary because “the regulatory requirements on a nominally private institution vary from firm to firm in ways that are difficult to rationalise or anticipate.” Thus, the regulators are discriminating among individual market participants and applying different rules to different parties even when they have the same legal charter. (That’s how NSCC got classified as “systemically important.”) Not all is for the best in the best of all possible regulatory worlds.
I think we need reform in the regulation of financial markets. But we should reject the error that the problem is “free markets.” When Elizabeth Warren says “It’s a rigged game,” she’s not wrong! But her call for “the SEC to get off their duffs and do their jobs” is asking the fox to do a better job guarding the henhouse. We don’t need more regulation; we need better regulation. We need the rule of law not only in monetary institutions but in financial markets too. We need to replace the “regulatory leviathan” in financial markets with “a regulatory constitution.”
Roger Koppl is Professor of Finance in the Whitman School of Management of Syracuse University and Associate Director of Whitman’s Institute for an Entrepreneurial Society (IES).
READER COMMENTS
Garrett
Feb 2 2021 at 3:46pm
Jon Stewart.
And speaking of Jon, I expect this whole thing to end up as another episode of Gell-Mann amnesia, where people don’t ask the simple question: “if this person grandstanding about GameStop has no idea what (s)he’s talking about, what other bull**** are they spewing?”
robc
Feb 2 2021 at 4:50pm
Three things happen, this article discusses one, and the 2nd fits the thesis, but the third doesnt.
Robin Hood restricted puchasing GME. This was due to regulatory reasons as the article covers.
Robin Hood forced the sell of certain positions due to margin. Ditto above, I believe they had to raise the margin requirements for GME which led to this.
Supposedly, and I cannot verify this happened, but on the day in question, people were claiming it did, and I havent seen otherwise yet, Robin Hood forced the sale of GME positions for people who purchases shares with cash, not on margin. And that, to me, is the worrying issue, if it happened.
Roger Koppl
Feb 2 2021 at 5:27pm
That would indeed be “worrying,” robc. Details matter, however, so I guess you can’t really judge absent the facts. Do please share if you come across any reliable evidence on that third item.
robc
Feb 2 2021 at 7:25pm
No proof either way, but here is an article about it.
https://www.theverge.com/2021/1/28/22254857/robinhood-gamestop-amc-shares-sold-surprised-users
Mark Bahner
Feb 3 2021 at 12:09am
Do you suppose he’s going to change his mind about selling GameStop at $197, now that it’s down to $90?
robc
Feb 3 2021 at 2:42pm
If he was one of the late buyers, probably not. Their goal wasn’t necessarily to make money as much as to bring down the shorts. I think any purchase, other than day traders, bought after the Friday where it closed at $65 was made without an ultimate goal of making money.
It goes back to the thread about markets not having a purpose. People have purposes, and sometimes they seem irrational to the rest of us, but that doesn’t mean it isn’t a purpose.
Bill Woolsey
Feb 2 2021 at 7:04pm
Call another broker?
Ted Durant
Feb 2 2021 at 8:03pm
A couple of important additional points. One is that Robinhood is not the only broker/dealer that halted GME trading. Several others did, as well, and they did not have the same liquidity issues as Robinhood.
Also, one might well ask the question of whether halting trades in individual stocks is an acceptable action for an insufficient equity position. Seems to me that is putting the broker/dealer’s problems onto the backs of specific account holders, and a more appropriate action would be to halt all trading at that broker/dealer.
Mark Bahner
Feb 2 2021 at 11:26pm
As far as I know, Robinhood did not halt selling of GME. They only halted buying of GME. (That was actually fortunate for any foolish retail “investor” who would have bought GME…since the stock price has already dropped from $300+ to less than $100 in a mere four business days, and is likely to drop much further.)
Robinhood allows GME selling, but not buying
Ted Durant
Feb 2 2021 at 8:06pm
A couple of important additional points. One is that Robinhood is not the only broker/dealer that halted GME trading. Several others did, as well, and they did not have the same liquidity issues as Robinhood.
Also, one might well ask the question of whether halting trades in individual stocks is an acceptable action for an insufficient equity position. Seems to me that is putting the broker/dealer’s problems onto the backs of specific account holders, and a more appropriate action would be to halt all trading at that broker/dealer.
Finally, an important part of the story is that there are options contracts covering around 300 million shares of GME. One astute /r/wallstbets commenter noted that it is more of a gamma squeeze than a short squeeze.
Ken P
Feb 2 2021 at 9:46pm
From what Anthony Denier (CEO Webull) has said, the collateral deposit that DTCC required to cover trades during the clearing period was increased from 1% to 100% on the morning that Robinhood and others banned buys of GME and others. He also said that the clearing house called his firm and told them they would have to stop allowing new open positions on particular stocks.
I’m sure many regulators have friendships with people in financial institutions which makes any discretionary power all the more troubling.
Ken P
Feb 2 2021 at 10:09pm
I don’t agree with this. Many on WSB had done extensive analysis. This battle between WSB and hedge funds began in 2019 when shorts had pushed the price down to $4, despite the fact that 90% of the stores were profitable and cash flow positive. Like many short situations, the goal is to push the company down to block access to capital in an attempt to bankrupt them.
The shorts are selling shares they don’t own – shares that the people who do own them are unwilling to sell at that price. IMO, short selling is legalized fraud because you are creating supply that does not exist. There are already ways to short in secondary markets – buying puts or selling calls. That’s where it should be done – where you don’t have direct impact on the share price via an artificial supply increase.
Matthias
Feb 5 2021 at 4:34am
Short sellers can only sell shares that they have borrowed. The original owners have to agree to the lending.
Vivian Darkbloom
Feb 3 2021 at 2:09am
If Robinhood and others like it charged a small commission on trades rather than relying on order rebates, the liquidity problem and the halt in trading would not have occurred. It is unreasonable and incompatible with the market system for traders of no commission brokers and the brokers themselves to expect that the trading system will fund the cost of those trades two or more days after the trade is initiated.
Alan Goldhammer
Feb 3 2021 at 9:09am
Vivian’s point is exactly on target. This is the classic ‘there is no such thing as a free lunch.’ If something is free, you better look under the hood to see where and how the money is coming in to keep things running. In RobinHood’s case, they have had various execution problems ever since opening. While it is regrettable that peoples finances are/were harmed during the GameStock saga, it is not surprising to those of us who have been investors for a lot of years.
The other thing that has been on my mind is what large funds joined the RobinHood squeeze and came out with very large profits. The history of short squeeze battles between funds and large investors is quite long (my favorite is the battle royale between Carl Icahn and Bill Ackman over Herbalife). Short investors have in the past highly publicized their positions to try to force shares down but are likely chastened by the GameStop incident.
robc
Feb 3 2021 at 9:40am
If its free, you are not the customer, you are the product.
Ken P
Feb 3 2021 at 2:01pm
What brokers that still charge a commission? I thought that went away almost entirely across the board with brokerages.
For how long? It was down to $126 by 11:30am. That drop gave many hedge funds a chance to pull enough out to avoid margin calls. The effect was to break the short squeeze whether that was the intention or not.
Buying at $300 was ridiculous, but so was shorting at $4. The hedge funds were trying to destroy the company, WSB was trying to destroy the hedge funds.
Mark Bahner
Feb 3 2021 at 11:38am
You should also have the “screw” in quotation marks.
The Redditors were able to instantly sell the shares of GameStop that they owned. They simply weren’t allowed to buy new GameStop shares. At the time this prohibition on Redditors buying more shares occurred, the GameStop price was more than $300(!!!!!) a share. Only five business days later, it’s under $100 a share…and likely to fall much further.
Alan Goldhammer
Feb 3 2021 at 11:45am
This is only “true” if they were buying at a few on-line brokerages. If they had an account with a well capitalized brokerage house (as I do) they would not have had this problem.
Dylan
Feb 3 2021 at 12:29pm
I guess it depends on what you mean by well capitalized, but trading in GME and a number of the other WSB targeted stocks was suspended at both Schwab and TD Ameritrade (which of course are now the same company, even though they haven’t integrated yet)
robc
Feb 3 2021 at 2:45pm
Like above, you are assuming a goal of the WSB late buyers. They were screwed in that they were prevented from adding pressure to the short sellers. They were not investors nor had any interest in investing.
Mark Bahner
Feb 4 2021 at 10:59am
I think the proposition that the WSB late buyers could even add any meaningful pressure to the short sellers is a highly debatable proposition (that I might deal with later).
But let’s say they could. Let’s say a hypothetical WSB late buyer gets 10 shares at $350, costing $3,500. The stock briefly goes up to $500. But the WSB doesn’t sell, to keep pressure on the short sellers. Instead the WSB late buyer sells after the stock drops to $250, and the WSB late buyer is out $1000…all for the brief thrill of seeing short sellers also hurt.
So you would say that Robinhood “screwed” this hypothetical late buyer? Because Robinhood didn’t allow this hypothetical late buyer to lose a substantial fraction of the initial payment price for the brief thrill of seeing others also lose money?
robc
Feb 5 2021 at 9:10am
Yes, I would.
I don’t agree with their goals, but I don’t see any reason they shouldn’t be allowed to pursue it. I am not a fan, but I wouldn’t ban MMA either. Some fight for the money, some for the thrill and if they make some money, even better.
Student of Liberty
Feb 4 2021 at 3:00am
“The regulatory environment is not meant to help the little guy. It rigs the system in favor of Big Players and incumbent interests.”
I strongly believe that the second assertion here is the unintended consequence of regulation (well intended by the Big Players, no doubt) but what about the first? Not sure about the US but in France, protecting the orphan and the widow is the regulator’s first stated objective (https://www.amf-france.org/en/amf/our-missions), which it does in a laughable manner as well indeed.
Why would anybody need regulation if it is not meant to help the little guy?
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